Every fixture, priced and read

A shorthanded Sunderland attack travels to a Bournemouth side that draws more than it wins at home

Over 2.5 56% at 1.91 · Both to score 57%

Bournemouth out: Alex Scott, Eli Kroupi, Julian Araujo, Justin Kluivert, Veljko Milosavljevic, Amine Adli

Sunderland out: Brian Brobbey, Romaine Mundle, Dan Ballard

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Brighton's home advantage survives a stripped-out front line; the trap is backing both sides to score.

Over 2.5 58% at 1.57 · Both to score 57%

Brighton out: Yankuba Minteh, Stefanos Tzimas, Kaoru Mitoma, Evan Ferguson, Femi Azeez

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Leeds' unbeaten home run and United's threadbare back line point to goals and a Leeds point.

Over 2.5 51% at 1.80 · Both to score 56%

Leeds out: Joe Rodon, Mateo Joseph

Manchester United out: Benjamin Seko, Patrick Dorgu

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Forest's leaky home form and missing centre-backs hand Arsenal's away run the platform to win

Over 2.5 43% at 1.91 · Both to score 47%

Nottingham Forest out: Nikola Milenkovic, Igor Jesus

Arsenal out: Kai Havertz, William Saliba, Piero Hincapié, Christos Tzolis

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Over 1.5 is the shape of this game; the home-draw double chance and BTTS yes are traps

Over 2.5 61% at 1.67 · Both to score 56%

Osasuna out: Jorge Herrando

Racing Santander out: Manex Lozano

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Celta's h2h dominance and Alaves' threadbare squad make Vigo favourites, but 1.29 leaves no room.

Over 2.5 38% at 2.50 · Both to score 43%

Alaves out: Facundo Garces, Omorodion, Rodriguez, Manas

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Two defensively short sides meet at La Rosaleda, goals look likelier than a clean sheet

Over 2.5 60% at 1.67 · Both to score 56%

Malaga out: Aaron Ochoa, Julen Lobete, Diego Murillo

Real Sociedad out: Alvaro Odriozola, Aihen Munoz, Jon Aramburu, Luken Beitia, Pablo Marin

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Real Madrid's h2h and home form still rule, but four absences open the door to goals

Over 2.5 70% at 1.40 · Both to score 54%

Real Madrid out: Vinicius Junior, Ferland Mendy

Sevilla out: Marcao

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Table-topping Freiburg travel poorly and history says Leverkusen or a draw, not an away certainty.

Over 2.5 71% at 1.44 · Both to score 68%

Bayer Leverkusen out: Mark Flekken, Nathan Tella

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Two toothless, injury-hit sides point to goals, not a winner, this weekend

Over 2.5 73% at 1.40 · Both to score 73%

Borussia Mönchengladbach out: Franck Honorat, Ko Itakura

1899 Hoffenheim out: Patrick Wimmer

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Udinese's home form is colder than their price; Lecce arrive hot, a tight low-scorer suits both

Over 2.5 46% at 2.00 · Both to score 52%

Lecce out: Medon Berisha, Willem Geubbels

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Milan are favourites but shaky at home; Atalanta have won half of the last ten meetings anyway.

Over 2.5 55% at 1.67 · Both to score 55%

AC Milan out: Matteo Gabbia

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Lazio's away form and table gap make Juventus' home price look shorter than this game deserves

Over 2.5 47% at 1.91 · Both to score 51%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Both sides are leaking results; goals look a safer read than either team winning it outright.

Over 2.5 54% at 1.62 · Both to score 60%

Marseille out: Kolasinac, Tavares, Merlin

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Two bottom-half sides rarely draw and rarely win away, so goals look the safer read than the scoreline.

Over 2.5 55% at 1.91 · Both to score 57%

Auxerre out: Okoh

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Monaco's away form and league-leading position favour them, but Lorient's draw-heavy h2h keeps this closer than the price.

Over 2.5 46% at 2.00 · Both to score 54%

Lorient out: Mbamba, Katseris, Fadiga

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Paris FC's unbeaten home run backs the goals call; BTTS looks the trap at this price.

Over 2.5 60% at 1.67 · Both to score 56%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Lyon's home form and Nice's four absentees make this a home-controlled game, not a Nice upset.

Over 2.5 55% at 1.67 · Both to score 57%

Nice out: Laurent Abergel, Moise Bombito, Antoine Mendy, Morgan Sanson

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Eight Spurs absentees and two missing strikers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game than the price suggests

Over 2.5 55% at 1.57 · Both to score 57%

Tottenham out: Vicario, Solanke, Kudus, Kulusevski, Simons, Mudryk

Coventry out: Wright, Eccles, Woolfenden, Amenda

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Getafe's home form and Rayo's away collapse point to a tight, low-scoring, draw-leaning game, not an away upset.

Over 2.5 42% at 2.62 · Both to score 47%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Cagliari's unbeaten away run meets a Monza missing both Pessina and Caprari up top

Over 2.5 49% at 2.10 · Both to score 52%

Monza out: Matteo Pessina, Gianluca Caprari, Leonardo Colombo

Cagliari out: Kevin Carlos, Riyad Idrissi

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Torino's weak away form and a missing Ilkhan undercut the model's double-chance read; goals look likelier than control.

Over 2.5 40% at 2.38 · Both to score 50%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Fenerbahçe favoured at home, but Slavia won two of the last three meetings - goals look the safer bet.

Over 2.5 64% at 1.62 · Both to score 60%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Dortmund's quality gap dwarfs Sabah's home form; goals likely but a 8.00 upset bet is a trap.

Over 2.5 71% at 1.40 · Both to score 50%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Roma's home run and a fit squad make goals likely, but a Slovan goal is the shakier ask

Over 2.5 76% at 1.30 · Both to score 59%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Porto are fit and strong at home, PSV are short six bodies, but the short prices do the damage here

Over 2.5 58% at 1.53 · Both to score 61%

PSV Eindhoven out: Jerdy Schouten, Alassane Pléa, Paul Wanner, Sam Lammers, Kiliann Sildillia

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Villarreal arrive weakened on the wings and poor away; Liverpool's home advantage is the read, not the price

Over 2.5 69% at 1.50 · Both to score 64%

Villarreal out: Tajon Buchanan

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

City's four-game home run and a clean AEK squad sheet make the win easy to read, hard to price

Over 2.5 76% at 1.28 · Both to score 48%

Manchester City out: Jeremy Doku

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Napoli's home form and injury list make the 1.60 banker shakier than Bodo/Glimt's form run

Over 2.5 66% at 1.50 · Both to score 56%

Napoli out: De Bruyne, Anguissa

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Atletico's five-game run meets a Stuttgart home record that already has a loss and a draw in it.

Over 2.5 65% at 1.53 · Both to score 58%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Portsmouth's defensive injury list and poor away form collide with in-form Wolves at Molineux

Over 2.5 53% at 1.73 · Both to score 53%

Wolves out: Raul Jimenez

Portsmouth out: Thomas Waddingham, Luke Brooke-Smith, Arthur, Harvey Blair

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Two draw-heavy, out-of-form sides point to a tight, low-scoring night at Plough Lane.

Over 2.5 49% at 1.80 · Both to score 52%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Form favours neither side outright; the match odds point at goals, not a Blackpool certainty

Over 2.5 66% at 1.57 · Both to score 69%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Leicester's upturn in form meets a Bromley side sliding toward the bottom of the table

Over 2.5 60% at 1.57 · Both to score 60%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Bradford's form and missing width point to a tight, low-scoring night at Pirelli Stadium.

Over 2.5 47% at 2.05 · Both to score 52%

Bradford out: Tyreik Wright, Josh Neufville

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Form favours Cambridge, history favours Wycombe, but goals are the one certain thing here

Over 2.5 57% at 1.80 · Both to score 57%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Stockport's h2h record and current form make Doncaster hard to back at home.

Over 2.5 55% at 1.62 · Both to score 59%

Stockport County out: Brad Hills, Adama Sidibeh

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Huddersfield's form and a five-man Peterborough absence list point one way: goals, and a home win.

Over 2.5 63% at 1.48 · Both to score 58%

Huddersfield out: Lasse Sorensen

Peterborough out: Tom O'Connor, Rio Adebisi, Sam Hughes, Matthew Garbett, Declan Frith

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Luton's form and h2h advantage face a crowded treatment room against a winless, injury-hit Barnsley

Over 2.5 60% at 1.44 · Both to score 64%

Luton out: Benny Benagr, Shayden Morris, Jayden Luker, Gideon Kodua, Sverre Sandal, Shandon Baptiste

Barnsley out: Ben Hamed Toure, Ziyad Larkeche

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Sheffield Wednesday's h2h sweep and unbeaten run make them the read; Notts County's home form has collapsed

Over 2.5 54% at 1.80 · Both to score 58%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Oxford's unbeaten run and Wigan's goal drought point to a tight, low-scoring night at the Kassam.

Over 2.5 48% at 1.90 · Both to score 56%

Oxford United out: McDonnell

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Plymouth sit top, Stevenage are in form, head to head says goals and away wins, not clean sheets.

Over 2.5 54% at 1.85 · Both to score 57%

Plymouth out: Oseni, Baidoo

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Barnet's in-form and rested, Swindon are collapsing and can't score, this is a home win, not a shootout

Over 2.5 62% at 1.50 · Both to score 58%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Salford's form and Rovers' admitted absences make the home favourite the trap, not the find.

Over 2.5 61% at 1.67 · Both to score 62%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.

Cheltenham's patchy form meets Fleetwood's worse run; even h2h says tight game, not a guaranteed stalemate.

Over 2.5 55% at 1.80 · Both to score 58%

The desk's card on this game is in Pro.