Motherwell crestHeart Of Midlothian crest

Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Heart of Midlothian or draw

    72% the model

    Our board prices this at 72%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.39 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 55% chance all land
1.83

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian, 55% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 79% 1.17 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 62% 1.46 +
  • Motherwell or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.69 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • S. Palmer-Houlden Motherwell
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Palmer-Houlden: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Mendy Heart of Midlothian
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Mendy: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Wilson Heart of Midlothian
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Wilson: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 51%
    Corners: Motherwell avg 4.4 for/6.3 against, Heart of Midlothian avg 6.6 for/4.2 against so expected 10.8 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 75%
    Corners: Motherwell avg 4.4 for/6.3 against, Heart of Midlothian avg 6.6 for/4.2 against so expected 10.8 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 36%
    Cards: Motherwell avg 1.4/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 1.6/game so expected 3.0 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Motherwell avg 1.4/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 1.6/game so expected 3.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 44%
    Fouls: Motherwell avg 10.3/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 11.6/game so expected 21.9 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 76%
    Fouls: Motherwell avg 10.3/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 11.6/game so expected 21.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 64%
    Shots: Motherwell avg 12.0/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 16.5/game so expected 28.5 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Motherwell avg 12.0/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 16.5/game so expected 28.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2 first half goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Motherwell under 2 goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Motherwell or Heart of Midlothian (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 4 goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 81% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Motherwell over 0.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Heart of Midlothian over 1 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Heart of Midlothian or Draw (double chance) 76% market William Hill
    1.33 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.