the model's favourite VfB Stuttgart 67% 1.40
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Over 2.5 74% at 1.28 · Both to score 63%
Free Bundesliga predictions: the model's favourite on every fixture with the best price beside it, and the model's calls graded on the public record, misses included.
18 Bundesliga matches in the next 16 days
the model's favourite VfB Stuttgart 67% 1.40
Over 2.5 74% at 1.28 · Both to score 63%
the model's favourite RB Leipzig 67% 1.35
Over 2.5 75% at 1.30 · Both to score 64%
the model's favourite FSV Mainz 05 54% 1.67
Over 2.5 66% at 1.53 · Both to score 66%
The model's number is free on every game. FBB Pro adds the desk's grade on every market and the singles we'd pick ourselves. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
the model's favourite FC Augsburg 50% 1.85
Over 2.5 65% at 1.57 · Both to score 61%
the model's favourite 1. FC Köln 46% 2.00
Over 2.5 63% at 1.57 · Both to score 63%
the model's favourite SC Paderborn 07 41% 2.30
Over 2.5 62% at 1.57 · Both to score 61%
the model's favourite Borussia Dortmund 64% 1.44
Over 2.5 75% at 1.33 · Both to score 66%
the model's favourite Bayer Leverkusen 47% 2.10
Over 2.5 73% at 1.40 · Both to score 73%
the model's favourite Bayern München 65% 1.40
Over 2.5 76% at 1.22 · Both to score 66%
Over 2.5 75% · Both to score 72%
Over 2.5 74% · Both to score 72%
Over 2.5 75% · Both to score 71%
Over 2.5 35% · Both to score 42%
Over 2.5 54% · Both to score 48%
Over 2.5 59% · Both to score 51%
Over 2.5 75% · Both to score 51%
Over 2.5 51% · Both to score 46%
Over 2.5 69% · Both to score 57%
The Bundesliga is football's best-known 'goals league', and the prices know it. Yes, the historical goals-per-game in the German top flight runs hotter than La Liga or Serie A, and the over 2.5 prices are short to match. We compare the prices of the UK books we track and show the best one beside the model's number. Below: every upcoming Bundesliga fixture with match-result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 probabilities. Each fixture page shows the full odds comparison, recent form for both sides and head-to-head when relevant. The German top flight is a genuine both-teams-to-score league once you strip out the Bayern blowouts. Every call the model makes here is graded in public, misses included.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the Bundesliga, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct |
|
Home/Draw | 2-1 | Won |
| 17 Oct |
|
Home/Draw | 2-2 | Won |
| 17 Oct |
|
Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 11 Oct |
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 19 Sep |
|
Home win | 7-0 | Won |
| 12 Sep |
|
Over 2.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 12 Sep |
|
Over 2.5 | 1-3 | Won |
| 12 Sep |
|
Over 1.5 | 1-3 | Won |
| 5 Sep |
|
Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 5 Sep |
|
Over 2.5 | 4-0 | Won |
| 30 Aug |
|
Over 1.5 | 3-0 | Won |
| 30 Aug |
|
Home/Draw | 4-1 | Won |
| 29 Aug |
|
Over 1.5 | 3-3 | Won |
| 16 May |
|
Over 2.5 | 5-1 | Won |
| 16 May |
|
Draw no bet home | 5-1 | Won |
Every Bundesliga call the model makes is logged before kick-off and graded win or loss on the public record, misses included. The record link on this page opens it, with the full settled history on the track record page.
Bundesliga goals-per-game runs hot, and the over 2.5 prices are short to match. A short price has to land more often to pay, so the page shows what each price implies beside the model's number.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Coverage is the German top flight only at present.
We treat Bayern matches as a separate regime when projecting goals expectancy because their goal-difference distribution skews the league average significantly. The probability output for a Bayern home game looks different to a mid-table Bundesliga fixture.
Both teams to score is the market the Bundesliga is known for once you strip out the Bayern blowouts. The record page grades every call by market, so you can check it for yourself.
When DFB-Pokal matches fall inside our seven-day forward window they appear in our coverage, treated with the same rotation-aware logic we apply to FA Cup early-round ties.
Our model reads the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, the form and the head to head to produce Bundesliga predictions. Every fixture shows the best price we can find beside the model's number, on the match result, both teams to score, the goals lines and more.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.