Free Ligue 1 predictions: the model's favourite on every fixture with the best price beside it, and the model's calls graded on the public record, misses included.
19 Ligue 1 matches in the next 16 days
the model's favourite Lyon 51% 1.85
Over 2.5 55% at 1.67 · Both to score 57%
Nice out: Laurent Abergel, Moise Bombito, Antoine Mendy, Morgan Sanson
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite Stade Brestois 29 38% 2.20
Over 2.5 57% at 1.67 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Toulouse 57% 1.65
Over 2.5 61% at 1.62 · Both to score 52%
The model's number is free on every game. FBB Pro adds the desk's grade on every market and the singles we'd pick ourselves. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
the model's favourite Lens 47% 2.00
Over 2.5 61% at 1.62 · Both to score 60%
the model's favourite Monaco 43% 2.10
Over 2.5 52% at 1.73 · Both to score 57%
the model's favourite Marseille 60% 1.60
Over 2.5 62% at 1.62 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Rennes 55% 1.67
Over 2.5 69% at 1.44 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Auxerre 46% 2.10
Over 2.5 59% at 1.73 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Lorient 42% 2.70
Over 2.5 46% at 2.00 · Both to score 53%
the model's favourite Paris Saint Germain 68% 1.36
Over 2.5 61% at 1.36 · Both to score 57%
Over 2.5 28% · Both to score 41%
Over 2.5 51% · Both to score 47%
Over 2.5 62% · Both to score 48%
Over 2.5 50% · Both to score 47%
Over 2.5 75% · Both to score 69%
Over 2.5 40% · Both to score 50%
Over 2.5 72% · Both to score 70%
Ligue 1 since the PSG dominance softened has been one of the more model-friendly leagues in Europe. Goals-per-game sits in the middle of the top-five distribution, the underlying-numbers feed is high-quality, and the gap between the title contenders and the relegation scrap is wide enough that the favourite hits more often than in any league apart from the Bundesliga top four. We treat PSG matches separately from the rest of the league because their games skew the league's goals markets. Below: every upcoming Ligue 1 fixture in the next seven days, with model probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Each fixture page shows the full odds comparison, current form and head-to-head. Every call the model makes here is graded in public, misses included.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the Ligue 1, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct |
 
Angers
v
Marseille
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-5 | Won |
| 12 Oct |
Estac Troyes
v
Marseille
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-2 | Won |
| 11 Oct |
 
Nice
v
Strasbourg
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 11 Oct |
Stade Brestois 29
v
Angers
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 5-1 | Won |
| 11 Oct |
 
Lorient
v
Paris FC
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 20 Sep |
Auxerre
v
Stade Brestois 29
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 19 Sep |
Paris FC
v
Strasbourg
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 14 Sep |
 
Le Mans
v
Lens
Over 2.5
|
Over 2.5 | 2-2 | Won |
| 13 Sep |
Paris FC
v
Lyon
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| 13 Sep |
Paris FC
v
Lyon
Under 45
|
Under 45 | 0-0 | Won |
| 13 Sep |
Le Havre
v
Angers
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| 12 Sep |
Strasbourg
v
Monaco
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
| 7 Sep |
Marseille
v
Paris FC
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-3 | Won |
| 6 Sep |
Angers
v
Rennes
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-2 | Won |
| 6 Sep |
Nice
v
Le Mans
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 1-1 | Won |
Every Ligue 1 call the model makes is logged before kick-off and graded win or loss on the public record, misses included. The record link on this page opens it, with the full settled history on the track record page.
PSG's goal difference skews the league's averages, so the model treats their fixtures as a separate regime from the rest of Ligue 1.
Yes, the gap between the title contenders and the relegation scrap is wide enough that the favourite hits more often than in any league apart from the Bundesliga top four.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Coverage is the French top flight only at present.
Coupe de France fixtures appear when scheduled inside our seven-day forward window, treated with the standard rotation-aware cup logic we apply to FA Cup and Coppa Italia early rounds.
Match-result calls on the favourite have historically been Ligue 1's strongest market. Goals markets carry more variance here than in the Bundesliga or Eredivisie.
Our model reads the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, the form and the head to head to produce Ligue 1 predictions. Every fixture shows the best price we can find beside the model's number, on the match result, both teams to score, the goals lines and more.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.
Toulouse
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
