Auxerre crestLe Mans crest

Auxerre v Le Mans bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 · Ligue 1

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Auxerre or Draw

    74% the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 268 graded picks

    The outright win sits at only 45%, so we take the safer Double Chance (74%) covering the same side.

    1.35 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 65% chance all land
1.54

The model puts this 2-leg build at 65% combined for Auxerre v Le Mans. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.20 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.41 +
  • Le Mans or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.69 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • L. Mafouta Le Mans
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Mafouta: 1.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Namaso Auxerre
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Namaso: 1.00 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Ahamada Auxerre
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Ahamada: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Faivre Auxerre
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Faivre: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Bourabaa Le Mans
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Bourabaa: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Calodat Le Mans
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Calodat: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Mafouta Le Mans
    Shots on target 2+

    L. Mafouta: 1.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Le Mans under 2 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Auxerre under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Le Mans over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Auxerre or Le Mans (double chance) 77% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 2 goals 76% market Pinnacle
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 76% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • Auxerre over 1 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • Auxerre or Draw (double chance) 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.