Live model performance

Every prediction is logged before kick-off and graded against the result. This page updates with every verified outcome.

Full track record Verified results Methodology
830-316
Won and lost
72%
Hit rate
396
Awaiting results
15
Bet types

Verified results

830W - 316L (72% hit rate)

Accuracy by market

Hit rate for each bet type across all verified predictions.

Market Record Hit rate Status
Over 1.5 Goals 268W - 76L 78% High
Home Win 131W - 55L 70% High
Double Chance - Home/Draw 146W - 26L 85% High
Over 2.5 Goals 71W - 39L 65% High
Under 2.5 Goals 54W - 37L 59% Medium
BTTS Yes 31W - 27L 53% Medium
Draw No Bet - Home 44W - 8L 85% High
Away Win 26W - 23L 53% Medium
Under 3.5 Goals 13W - 9L 59% Medium
Double Chance - No Draw 13W - 5L 72% High
Under 4.5 Goals 12W - 3L 80% High
Double Chance - Away/Draw 11W - 1L 92% High
BTTS No 6W - 5L 55% Medium
Draw No Bet - Away 3W - 2L 60% High
Draw 1W - 0L 100% High
High 60% and above
Medium 45% to 60%
Low below 45%

Hit rate only. A high hit rate at short odds can still lose money, and a lower one at bigger prices can profit. These bands rank how often a market lands, not its value.

Recent performance by market

Hit rate from each market's most recent 100 verified predictions. Trend compares recent form to the all-time average.

71% recent hit rate Up to the latest 100 settled predictions from each market: 752 selections analysed
Market Sample Record Hit rate Trend
Over 1.5 Goals 100 78W - 22L 78% Stable
Home Win 100 76W - 24L 76% +6%
Double Chance - Home/Draw 100 86W - 14L 86% Stable
Over 2.5 Goals 100 64W - 36L 64% Stable
Under 2.5 Goals 91 54W - 37L 59% Stable
BTTS Yes 58 31W - 27L 53% Stable
Draw No Bet - Home 53 44W - 9L 83% Stable
Away Win 49 26W - 23L 53% Stable
Double Chance - No Draw 30 23W - 7L 77% +4%
Under 3.5 Goals 22 13W - 9L 59% Stable
Under 4.5 Goals 15 12W - 3L 80% Stable
Double Chance - Away/Draw 13 12W - 1L 92% Stable
BTTS No 11 6W - 5L 55% Stable
Draw No Bet - Away 5 3W - 2L 60% --
First Half - Draw 2 2W - 0L 100% --
First Half - Home 1 1W - 0L 100% --
First Half - Away 1 0W - 1L 0% --
Draw 1 1W - 0L 100% --

Most predictable leagues

Which leagues the model predicts most accurately.

Rank League Record Hit rate Sample
1 Championship 133W - 55L 71% 188
2 League One 117W - 48L 71% 165
3 League Two 104W - 43L 71% 147
4 Premier League 103W - 43L 71% 146
5 La Liga 90W - 34L 73% 124
6 Serie A 62W - 32L 66% 94
7 Bundesliga 72W - 18L 80% 90
8 Ligue 1 65W - 20L 76% 85
9 Champions League 48W - 12L 80% 60
10 World Cup 28W - 8L 78% 36
11 Brazilian Série A 8W - 3L 73% 11

Why we track this

Most betting tools are black boxes. You have no idea whether their predictions are accurate. We believe in transparency. By tracking every prediction against the actual outcome, you can:

  • See exactly how well the model performs across different markets
  • Identify which bet types have the best calibration
  • Trust that we are continuously improving based on real data
  • Make informed decisions about which predictions to follow
Learn how the model works

Last updated 17 Oct 2026, 23:46

Checks for new results every 60 seconds
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.