Last man standing tips, strongest first

One team to win this weekend. Every Premier League, Championship and League One fixture, the likelier side ranked by the model's win number, with its price.

23 to 25 October 34 fixtures

This weekend, strongest first

the model's outright win number
1 Arsenal crestArsenal v Everton, home · Premier League · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 2nd v 8th WWWLW  v  LDWWD 65% 1.40
2 Manchester City crestManchester City v Aston Villa, away · Premier League · Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 · 1st v 12th WLWWW  v  WWDWW 59% 1.70
3 Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbrough v Bolton, away · Championship · Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 · 3rd v 15th DWWDD  v  DWLWW 58% 1.70
Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest v Ipswich, away · Premier League · Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 · 18th v 10th LLLWD  v  LWLLW 47% 2.25
Sheffield Utd crestSheffield Utd v Derby, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 · 11th v 23rd WLWLL  v  LLDDL not priced yet
Portsmouth crestPortsmouth v Millwall, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 · 13th v 12th WWLDD  v  DLWDD not priced yet
Charlton crestCharlton v Norwich, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 · 17th v 21st LDDLD  v  LLLLL not priced yet
Luton crestLuton v Leicester, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 · 16th v 14th LWLLD  v  WLDWL not priced yet
Huddersfield crestHuddersfield v Wigan, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 · 3rd v 24th WDWLD  v  WLWLD not priced yet
Fulham crestFulham v Coventry, away · Premier League · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 17th v 16th WLDWD  v  WWLLL 46% 2.25
QPR crestQPR v Swansea, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 LWDDD  v  LWWWW not priced yet
Preston crestPreston v West Brom, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 24th v 5th LLLDL  v  WWLLD not priced yet
Lincoln crestLincoln v Burnley, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 18th v 22nd DLLLW  v  LDWDL not priced yet
Cardiff crestCardiff v Birmingham, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 19th v 4th DWLWL  v  WWWDW not priced yet
Wolves crestWolves v Watford, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 8th v 20th WLLWL  v  WLLLL not priced yet
West Ham crestWest Ham v Southampton, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 2nd v 7th WWDDL  v  DWWLW not priced yet
Stoke City crestStoke City v Bristol City, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 6th v 16th WLWWW  v  LLDWL not priced yet
Blackburn crestBlackburn v Wrexham, home · Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 10th v 14th LWWDW  v  WLDWL not priced yet
Cambridge United crestCambridge United v Plymouth, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 5th v 4th WWDDW  v  LWWLW not priced yet
Burton Albion crestBurton Albion v Leyton Orient, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 10th v 9th DLLWD  v  WDLWL not priced yet
Bromley crestBromley v Peterborough, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 22nd v 19th LLWDL  v  DWLLD not priced yet
Blackpool crestBlackpool v Mansfield Town, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 20th v 13th LLLDL  v  DWLDD not priced yet
AFC Wimbledon crestAFC Wimbledon v Wycombe, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 15th v 11th LLDDW  v  WLDWW not priced yet
Stevenage crestStevenage v Milton Keynes Dons, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 12th v 18th LWLWW  v  WLDDD not priced yet
Reading crestReading v Barnsley, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 7th v 21st LWDDW  v  LLDDL not priced yet
Oxford United crestOxford United v Bradford, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 8th v 1st DWDWW  v  WDDWW not priced yet
Notts County crestNotts County v Stockport County, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 23rd v 2nd LLLLD  v  WWWDL not priced yet
Doncaster crestDoncaster v Sheffield Wednesday, home · League One · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · 17th v 6th LWWLL  v  WDDDW not priced yet
Chelsea crestChelsea v Tottenham, home · Premier League · Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 · 4th v 20th WWLDW  v  DLLDD 52% 1.75
Brentford crestBrentford v Hull City, away · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · 6th v 9th LDWWD  v  LDLDL 56% 1.75
Manchester United crestManchester United v Bournemouth, home · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · 13th v 15th DLDDL  v  WWLLW 48% 1.85
Newcastle crestNewcastle v Crystal Palace, away · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · 11th v 14th LLWLW  v  LLWDW 44% 2.30
Liverpool crestLiverpool v Brighton, home · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · 5th v 3rd WWLWW  v  WWWWW 42% 2.10
Leeds crestLeeds v Sunderland, away · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 · 7th v 19th DLDWL  v  LWLLW 46% 2.50

Next weekend, for planning

31 October to 2 November

The 8 strongest sides next weekend are ranked for members.

The model's number and the price are free on every side. Members see the full ranking, next weekend's strongest sides and more from the desk where a game has been researched.

How to use it. Pick from the top, but think a week ahead: a side at 80%+ this weekend may be the one you need in three weeks. Never lean on a side away at a rival, and remember a draw puts you out as surely as a defeat. The number is the model's chance of an outright win, graded in public on the record. Analysis, not advice. 18+.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.