Sunderland crestLeeds crest

Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction

Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 Premier League

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1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Sunderland crestSunderland 27% Draw 28% Leeds crestLeeds 45%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Sunderland (18th, 4 pts) host Leeds (8th, 9 pts) in the Premier League. Both sides will be targeting three points here.

A razor-thin margin: Leeds at 45%, but the draw sits at 28%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.34BetVictor

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.34

3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Sunderland win 27% 2.75 36%
Draw 28% 3.40 29%
Leeds win 45% 2.55 39%
Sunderland or draw 65% 1.50 67%
Leeds or draw 68% 1.44 69%
Either side to win, no draw 1.33 75%
Over 2.5 goals 45% 2.00 50%
Both teams to score 52% 1.80 56%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

11 markets
Under 2 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.25
Under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Leeds over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Sunderland or Leeds (double chance) William Hill 1.33
Over 1.5 goals BetVictor 1.34
Sunderland over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Under 1.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.37
Over 0.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.43
Leeds or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.44
Sunderland under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.44

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Over 2.5 goals 2.10 to 2.00 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Sunderland crestSunderland WLLWLW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 10 conceded.

Thu 15 Oct Torreense crestat Torreense 2-1 Won
Sat 10 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion crestv Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 Lost
Sun 20 Sep Manchester City crestat Manchester City 3-5 Lost
Wed 16 Sep AZ Alkmaar crestv AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Won
Sat 12 Sep Arsenal crestv Arsenal 0-2 Lost
Tue 8 Sep Hull City crestv Hull City 1-0 Won
Leeds crestLeeds LDWLDD

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost. 10 scored, 11 conceded.

Sat 10 Oct Arsenal crestat Arsenal 1-2 Lost
Sun 20 Sep Crystal Palace crestv Crystal Palace 0-0 Drew
Mon 14 Sep Newcastle United crestv Newcastle United 4-1 Won
Wed 9 Sep Chelsea crestat Chelsea 3-6 Lost
Sat 5 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion crestat Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Drew
Sun 30 Aug Brentford crestv Brentford 1-1 Drew

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Sunderland v Leeds: the numbers

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Sunderland crestSunderlandLeeds crestLeeds 18League position8 1-1-4League record, won-drawn-lost2-3-1 6-12Goals for and against8-5 4Points9 1-0-2Home record v away record1-1-1 1.00Scored a game1.33 2.00Conceded a game0.83 1.75xG for a game1.41 29%Clean sheets21% 34%Failed to score32% 47%Both teams scored58%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Sunderland v Leeds: head to head

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Sunderland won 3 4 draws Leeds won 3
1.7 goals a game 4/10 both scored 2/10 over 2.5
30 Jul 2026 Sunderland crestLeeds crestSunderland v Leeds 0-1
3 Mar 2026 Leeds crestSunderland crestLeeds v Sunderland 0-1
28 Dec 2025 Sunderland crestLeeds crestSunderland v Leeds 1-1
17 Feb 2025 Leeds crestSunderland crestLeeds v Sunderland 2-1
4 Oct 2024 Sunderland crestLeeds crestSunderland v Leeds 2-2
9 Apr 2024 Leeds crestSunderland crestLeeds v Sunderland 0-0
12 Dec 2023 Sunderland crestLeeds crestSunderland v Leeds 1-0
7 Apr 2018 Leeds crestSunderland crestLeeds v Sunderland 1-1
19 Aug 2017 Sunderland crestLeeds crestSunderland v Leeds 0-2
4 Jan 2015 Sunderland crestLeeds crestSunderland v Leeds 1-0

Likely scorelines

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0-113% 0-210%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Sunderland vs Leeds: FAQs

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Sunderland vs Leeds prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.34. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Sunderland vs Leeds kick off?

Sunderland vs Leeds kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Sunderland vs Leeds?

The best prices across the books we track: Sunderland 2.75, the draw 3.40, Leeds 2.55. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Sunderland and Leeds in?

Sunderland have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (W L L W L W, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Leeds have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L D W L D D, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 11.

What is the head to head between Sunderland and Leeds?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Sunderland won 3, Leeds won 3 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 30 Jul 2026, finished Sunderland 0-1 Leeds.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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