Every bet, one page

Saturday 17 October · live board

13 winnersof the model's 20 published calls graded in the last day Every graded pickMisses included
The picks it counts
Newcastle crestAston Villa crestNewcastle v Aston VillaOver 1.5 · Premier League 0-1 Lost
Bologna crestInter crestBologna v InterOver 1.5 · Serie A 1-3 Won
Manchester City crestIpswich crestManchester City v IpswichHome win · Premier League 3-2 Won
Everton crestChelsea crestEverton v ChelseaOver 1.5 · Premier League 0-2 Won
Norwich crestPortsmouth crestNorwich v PortsmouthOver 1.5 · Championship 0-1 Lost
Derby crestStoke City crestDerby v Stoke CityOver 1.5 · Championship 0-1 Lost
Swansea crestWest Ham crestSwansea v West HamOver 1.5 · Championship 0-1 Lost
Werder Bremen crestSC Paderborn 07 crestWerder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07Home or draw · Bundesliga 2-2 Won
FC Schalke 04 crestFSV Mainz 05 crestFC Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05Over 1.5 · Bundesliga 0-1 Lost
Espanyol crestAtletico Madrid crestEspanyol v Atletico MadridOver 1.5 · La Liga 0-1 Lost
Wycombe crestNotts County crestWycombe v Notts CountyHome or draw · League One 2-0 Won
Wigan crestReading crestWigan v ReadingOver 1.5 · League One 1-0 Lost
Barnsley crestCambridge United crestBarnsley v Cambridge UnitedOver 1.5 · League One 1-2 Won
Peterborough crestBurton Albion crestPeterborough v Burton AlbionHome or draw · League One 2-2 Won
Milton Keynes Dons crestLuton crestMilton Keynes Dons v LutonOver 1.5 · League One 2-1 Won
Sheffield Wednesday crestAFC Wimbledon crestSheffield Wednesday v AFC WimbledonOver 1.5 · League One 5-0 Won
Wycombe crestNotts County crestWycombe v Notts CountyOver 1.5 · League One 2-0 Won
Bradford crestStevenage crestBradford v StevenageHome or draw · League One 2-0 Won
Swindon Town crestWalsall crestSwindon Town v WalsallOver 1.5 · League Two 1-1 Won
Crewe crestRochdale crestCrewe v RochdaleHome or draw · League Two 3-2 Won

Published calls on leagues on the record, graded at full time. Where the desk's calls differ, the desk grades on its own page.

The model's strongest number today

Always free
Information, not one of our singles Over 1.5

Paris FC crestRennes crestParis FC v Rennes · Ligue 1 · Sun 18 Oct, 16:15. The model's highest number in a league on the record.

Our model79% Consensus price1.17

This market has landed 78% of the time across 388 graded picks on the record.

At 1.17 it has to land 86% of the time to break even. No bet is safe.

Information, not one of our singles · leagues on the record only · 18+

The model's form calls

Every call free

The model's form call on each fixture, each one graded on the public record tonight, so the call you follow is the same one the record counts. The match page's call reads every market on the game, so it can differ.

Sao Paulo crestSao Paulo Brasileirão Série A · Sun 18 Oct, 01:00 77% Sao Paulo or Draw 1.30 Vasco DA Gama crestVasco DA Gama Udinese crestUdinese Serie A · Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 80%+ Udinese or Draw 1.21 Lecce crestLecce Osasuna crestOsasuna La Liga · Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 77% Osasuna or Draw 1.29 Racing Santander crestRacing Santander Bournemouth crestBournemouth Premier League · Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 77% Bournemouth or Draw 1.31 Sunderland crestSunderland Leeds crestLeeds Premier League · Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 71% Leeds or Draw 1.43 Manchester United crestManchester United Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga · Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 80%+ Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 1.22 SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo La Liga · Sun 18 Oct, 15:15 75% Celta Vigo or Draw 1.31 Alaves crestAlaves Le Havre crestLe Havre Ligue 1 · Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 74% Le Havre or Draw 1.37 Auxerre crestAuxerre Paris FC crestParis FC Ligue 1 · Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 73% Paris FC or Draw 1.36 Rennes crestRennes AC Milan crestAC Milan Serie A · Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 79% AC Milan or Draw 1.23 Atalanta crestAtalanta Lyon crestLyon Ligue 1 · Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 79% Lyon or Draw 1.22 Nice crestNice Monza crestMonza Serie A · Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 73% Monza or Draw 1.37 Cagliari crestCagliari Cambridge United crestCambridge United League One · Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 74% Cambridge United or Draw 1.34 Wycombe crestWycombe

We never publish a precise number above 80% because that is where our own record stops supporting it. Every one of these lands on the track record, hit or miss.

The model's calls, priced

Every call free

2 calls on the board, the model's number and the best real price on each. Real books, exchanges excluded.

Over 2.5 Bayern München crestArsenal crestBayern München v Arsenal · Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 70% 1.68
Over 2.5 FC Copenhagen crestAarhus crestFC Copenhagen v Aarhus · Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 68% 1.68

Ask the desk

The same board, the same numbers, in plain words. It answers with real fixtures, dates and prices.

Answers come from the board you are reading. Information about our model, not betting advice. 18+

The audit room

Always free

The model's calls split open across 1146 graded picks, by league and by market, benched markets included. Information, not our singles.

Record by league (11)
LeagueLandedGraded Bundesliga 80.0% 90 Champions League 80.0% 60 FIFA World Cup 77.8% 36 Ligue 1 76.5% 85 Brasileirão Série A 72.7% 11 La Liga 72.6% 124 League One 70.9% 165 League Two 70.7% 147 Championship 70.7% 188 Premier League 70.5% 146 Serie A 66.0% 94
Record by market (13)
MarketLandedGraded Away or draw 91.7% 12 Home or draw 84.9% 172 Home DNB 84.6% 52 Under 4.5 80.0% 15 Over 1.5 77.9% 344 No draw 72.2% 18 Home win 70.4% 186 Over 2.5 64.5% 110 Under 2.5 59.3% 91 Under 3.5 59.1% 22 BTTS no 54.5% 11 BTTS 53.4% 58 Away win 53.1% 49

Recently graded

Always free
The last picks to settle, misses included
OVER_15 Newcastle crestAston Villa crestNewcastle v Aston Villa · finished 0-1 79% Miss
OVER_15 Bologna crestInter crestBologna v Inter · finished 1-3 79% Hit
HOME_WIN Manchester City crestIpswich crestManchester City v Ipswich · finished 3-2 70% Hit
OVER_15 Everton crestChelsea crestEverton v Chelsea · finished 0-2 79% Hit
OVER_15 Norwich crestPortsmouth crestNorwich v Portsmouth · finished 0-1 80%+ Miss
OVER_15 Derby crestStoke City crestDerby v Stoke City · finished 0-1 74% Miss

Straight off the verified ledger. The full list is on the track record.

Keep going

This weekend's previews Acca calculator Stake calculator The full track record
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.