The model's calls, graded
Free to read. These are the model's form calls: a call makes this board when both teams' recent form agrees with the market it's calling, so it can be a different market from the call on the match page. It is locked and timestamped before kick-off and grades on the public record whatever happens. The singles we stake are a stricter subset: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs.
How to read a pick
landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 counts the two teams' last 12
games combined: home 5 of 6 is the home side's last six, away 6 of 6 the away side's.
Every pick shows when it was logged. Once locked it cannot be edited or quietly deleted; it grades into the record above win or lose.
Calls where the form disagrees with the model never reach this board, and since 24 August they are not counted in the record. Before that date every call counted.
On the board now
Locked, timestamped, grading next. Add a pick straight to your slip or open the fixture's builder.
Udinese v Lecce
Osasuna v Racing Santander
Angers v Marseille
Bayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg
AC Milan v Atalanta
Lyon v Nice
Real Madrid v Sevilla
Manchester City v AEK Athens FCRecently graded
The loop closing: the last board picks, the evidence they carried, and how they actually ended.
Every call the model made: 72% of 1146 graded calls landed. Information, not our singles.
Newcastle v Aston Villa
Lost 0-1
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Bologna v Inter
Landed 1-3
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 3 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Manchester City v Ipswich
Landed 3-2
Home Win
Called on: home won 6 of 6 · away won 2 of 6 and lost 4 of 6
Everton v Chelsea
Landed 0-2
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 3 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Norwich v Portsmouth
Lost 0-1
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 4 of 6)
Derby v Stoke City
Lost 0-1
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Swansea v West Ham
Lost 0-1
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07
Landed 2-2
Double Chance: Home/Draw
Called on: home unbeaten in 4 of 6 · away lost 3 of 6
FC Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05
Lost 0-1
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 8 of the sides' last 12 games (home 3 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Espanyol v Atletico Madrid
Lost 0-1
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 12 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Wycombe v Notts County
Landed 2-0
Double Chance: Home/Draw
Called on: home unbeaten in 5 of 6 · away lost 3 of 6
Wigan v Reading
Lost 1-0
Over 1.5 Goals
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 3 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Cup & proving-ground picks
Same model, same evidence receipts, from cup ties and leagues still earning their place. They are graded here, and counted separately until these leagues have enough games.
GKS Katowice v Pogon Szczecin
Lost 0-1
Over 2.5 Goals
Poland Ekstraklasa
Called on: over 2.5 landed in 7 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 2 of 6)
Spalding United v Alvechurch
Lost 2-2
Under 3.5 Goals
FA Cup
Called on: under 3.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Salisbury FC v Eastbourne Borough FC
Landed 3-0
Draw No Bet: Home
FA Cup
Called on: home unbeaten in 6 of 6
Plymouth Parkway v Chertsey Town
Lost 2-0
Over 2.5 Goals
FA Cup
Called on: over 2.5 landed in 8 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 4 of 6)
Viking v Fredrikstad
Landed 3-2
Home Win
Eliteserien
Called on: home won 4 of 6 · away won 2 of 6
Airdrie United v Hamilton Academical
Landed 1-2
Under 3.5 Goals
Scotland League One
Called on: under 3.5 landed in 7 of the sides' last 12 games (home 2 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
NEOM v Al-Ettifaq
Lost 0-1
Double Chance: Home/Draw
Saudi Pro League
Called on: home unbeaten in 5 of 6
Real Sociedad II v Almeria
Landed 2-4
Over 1.5 Goals
Spain Segunda Division
Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Kelty Hearts v Forfar Athletic
Landed 2-1
Double Chance: Home/Draw
Scotland League Two
Called on: away lost 4 of 6
Clyde v Annan Athletic
Landed 4-1
Over 2.5 Goals
Scotland League Two
Called on: over 2.5 landed in 7 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 2 of 6)
Every one of these grades into the same public ledger: no cherry-picking, no deleted losses. The full history and filters live on the track record.
See the full track record Open the bet builderThe singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.