Free Europa League predictions: the model's favourite on every fixture with the best price beside it, and the model's calls graded on the public record, misses included.
18 Europa League matches this week
market favourite Union St. Gilloise 1.35 74% implied
Over 2.5 1.49, market 67%
market favourite Ferencvarosi TC 1.40 71% implied
Over 2.5 1.58, market 63%
market favourite Bayer Leverkusen 1.25 80% implied
Over 2.5 1.36, market 74%
market favourite AZ Alkmaar 1.50 67% implied
Over 2.5 1.55, market 65%
market favourite Sunderland 1.62 62% implied
Over 2.5 1.76, market 57%
market favourite Juventus 1.60 62% implied
Over 2.5 1.68, market 60%
market favourite Dinamo Zagreb 1.73 58% implied
Over 2.5 1.53, market 65%
market favourite Marseille 2.00 50% implied
Over 2.5 1.66, market 60%
market favourite Benfica 1.40 71% implied
Over 2.5 1.59, market 63%
market favourite Red Bull Salzburg 1.80 56% implied
Over 2.5 1.63, market 61%
market favourite Olympiakos Piraeus 1.57 64% implied
Over 2.5 1.71, market 58%
market favourite Real Sociedad 1.53 65% implied
Over 2.5 1.60, market 62%
market favourite Plzen 1.70 59% implied
Over 2.5 1.66, market 60%
market favourite Anderlecht 2.30 43% implied
Over 2.5 1.71, market 58%
market favourite 1899 Hoffenheim 2.00 50% implied
Over 2.5 1.50, market 67%
market favourite Beşiktaş 2.15 47% implied
Over 2.5 1.55, market 65%
market favourite Celta Vigo 2.30 43% implied
Over 2.5 1.75, market 57%
market favourite Bournemouth 2.20 45% implied
Over 2.5 1.68, market 60%
The Europa League is the trickiest UEFA competition to model. Squad rotation is common in the group stage as English and Spanish sides prioritise domestic fixtures, knockout rounds tighten up, and Thursday-Sunday turnaround issues are real. We split our model into a group-stage regime (lighter weight on first XIs, more on home form) and knockout regime (full-strength assumption). Below: every confirmed Europa League fixture with our probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Each fixture page shows the bookmaker odds comparison across the UK books we track and recent form. The competition has historically been a goals fixture in the group stage and tighter in the knockouts. Every call the model makes here is graded in public, misses included.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the Europa League, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
Every Europa League call the model makes is logged before kick-off and graded win or loss on the public record, misses included. The record link on this page opens it, with the full settled history on the track record page. Coverage volume is lighter than the Champions League.
Squad rotation is common in the group stage as English and Spanish sides prioritise domestic fixtures, and Thursday-Sunday turnaround issues are real. We split our model into group-stage and knockout regimes accordingly.
Group-stage Europa League fixtures historically run as a goals competition while the knockouts tighten up, and the goals prices move with them.
Yes when fixtures fall inside our seven-day forward window, though underlying-numbers data is sparser at that stage.
Match-result calls on the favourite have historically been stronger in the knockout rounds than the group stage. Group-stage variance is wider because rotation patterns are harder to forecast.
No, we treat all sides on the underlying numbers regardless of league of origin. English Premier League clubs in Europa League fixtures often rotate which we account for in the rotation-risk weighting.
Our model reads the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, the form and the head to head to produce Europa League predictions. Every fixture shows the best price we can find beside the model's number, on the match result, both teams to score, the goals lines and more.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.
Union St. Gilloise
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ferencvarosi TC
Torreense
OFI
Bayer Leverkusen
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
Lech Poznan
Sunderland
Juventus
Rennes
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
Sturm Graz
Marseille
Omonia Nicosia
Benfica
Celje
Red Bull Salzburg
Olympiakos Piraeus
Sparta Praha
Lillestrom
Real Sociedad
Plzen
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia
Anderlecht
1899 Hoffenheim
Lyon
Beşiktaş
Crystal Palace
Celtic
Celta Vigo
Bournemouth
AC Milan
