Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
2.41 +
Ararat-Armenia or draw
42% the modelOur board prices this at 42%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.73 +
Over 2.5 Goals
58% the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 58%.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar, 24% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.23 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 60% 1.53 +
- AZ Alkmaar Away Win 58% 1.50 +
- AZ Alkmaar (first half) First Half 51% 2.00 +
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 2 first half goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.21 +
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AZ Alkmaar under 3 goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Over 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.23 +
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Under 4 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market William Hill1.25 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Ararat-Armenia under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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AZ Alkmaar to win 69% market William Hill1.50 +
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Ararat-Armenia over 0.5 goals 68% market Bet3651.50 +
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AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 68% market Bet3651.50 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.