market favourite Al Diriyah 1.44 69% implied
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Both sides are winless in this venue split, draws fit the evidence better than either win
Tuesday 20 October 2026. 37 games. The model's number on every game in the leagues with a public record, and the market's prices on the rest.
Our singles, graded in public: 36 graded, 21 landed, every one listed. The record
market favourite Al Diriyah 1.44 69% implied
Both sides are winless in this venue split, draws fit the evidence better than either win
market favourite Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.44 69% implied
Al-Qadisiyah's five away wins expose a home side with zero wins in five at home
the model's favourite Borussia Dortmund 66% 1.30
Dortmund's quality gap dwarfs Sabah's home form; goals likely but a 8.00 upset bet is a trap.
the model's favourite Fenerbahçe 55% 1.67
Fenerbahçe favoured at home, but Slavia won two of the last three meetings - goals look the safer bet.
market favourite Al-Nassr 1.36 74% implied
Al-Nassr's perfect home run and h2h sweep outweigh NEOM's patchy away form and Coman's injury.
market favourite Al-Ittihad FC 2.00 50% implied
H2H favors Al-Ittihad 6-2-2 in ten, but neither side's venue form is strong enough to trust fully.
the model's favourite Wolves 58% 1.62
Portsmouth's defensive injury list and poor away form collide with in-form Wolves at Molineux
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the model's favourite Barnet 58% 1.50
Barnet's in-form and rested, Swindon are collapsing and can't score, this is a home win, not a shootout
the model's favourite Huddersfield 58% 1.57
Huddersfield's form and a five-man Peterborough absence list point one way: goals, and a home win.
the model's favourite Luton 58% 1.53
Luton's form and h2h advantage face a crowded treatment room against a winless, injury-hit Barnsley
the model's favourite Chesterfield 57% 1.57
Two leaky defenses collide: goals look likely, but a clean Chesterfield win is the trap.
the model's favourite Leicester 54% 1.75
Leicester's upturn in form meets a Bromley side sliding toward the bottom of the table
the model's favourite York 52% 1.67
Two draw-heavy sides collide, Accrington's stalemate habit makes York's goals markets a trap.
the model's favourite Stockport County 50% 1.95
Stockport's h2h record and current form make Doncaster hard to back at home.
the model's favourite Oxford United 48% 1.91
Oxford's unbeaten run and Wigan's goal drought point to a tight, low-scoring night at the Kassam.
the model's favourite Sheffield Wednesday 46% 2.15
Sheffield Wednesday's h2h sweep and unbeaten run make them the read; Notts County's home form has collapsed
the model's favourite Bradford 46% 2.05
Bradford's form and missing width point to a tight, low-scoring night at Pirelli Stadium.
market favourite Partick 2.45 41% implied
Partick have won 6 of the last 10 h2h, Dunfermline unbeaten in 5 at home.
the model's favourite Fleetwood Town 44% 2.30
Cheltenham's patchy form meets Fleetwood's worse run; even h2h says tight game, not a guaranteed stalemate.
the model's favourite Mansfield Town 44% 2.30
Two draw-heavy, out-of-form sides point to a tight, low-scoring night at Plough Lane.
the model's favourite Grimsby 43% 2.15
Grimsby's three-game losing run makes them a flawed favourite; Rochdale's form favours the home win
the model's favourite Shrewsbury 43% 2.45
Two out-of-form strugglers meet; the shape says tight and low-scoring, not a home certainty for bottom-place Crawley.
the model's favourite Rotherham 43% 2.05
Newport's unbeaten away run meets a Rotherham side rock bottom and three defeats deep in their last five.
the model's favourite Salford City 42% 2.50
Salford's form and Rovers' admitted absences make the home favourite the trap, not the find.
the model's favourite Plymouth 42% 2.62
Plymouth sit top, Stevenage are in form, head to head says goals and away wins, not clean sheets.
the model's favourite Cambridge United 40% 2.15
Form favours Cambridge, history favours Wycombe, but goals are the one certain thing here
the model's favourite Northampton 40% 2.25
Tranmere's table advantage and draw habit outweigh history; expect a tight, low-scoring night, not a Northampton home certainty.
the model's favourite Milton Keynes Dons 40% 2.62
Form favours neither side outright; the match odds point at goals, not a Blackpool certainty
the model's favourite Crewe 38% 2.80
Form favours in-form Crewe, but this looks tight and low-scoring, not a home certainty
the model's favourite Oldham 37% 2.75
Class gap and home-heavy head to head point to Walsall control, not a shootout
the model's favourite Manchester City 72% 1.08
City's four-game home run and a clean AEK squad sheet make the win easy to read, hard to price
the model's favourite AS Roma 72% 1.17
Roma's home run and a fit squad make goals likely, but a Slovan goal is the shakier ask
the model's favourite Liverpool 61% 1.44
Villarreal arrive weakened on the wings and poor away; Liverpool's home advantage is the read, not the price
the model's favourite FC Porto 54% 1.62
Porto are fit and strong at home, PSV are short six bodies, but the short prices do the damage here
the model's favourite Napoli 54% 1.60
Napoli's home form and injury list make the 1.60 banker shakier than Bodo/Glimt's form run
the model's favourite Atletico Madrid 46% 2.10
Atletico's five-game run meets a Stuttgart home record that already has a loss and a draw in it.
the model's favourite Port Vale 41% 2.40
Table gap says control, form dip says caution: under 2.5 and BTTS no fit this one tightest.
Every fixture tomorrow with the market's prices, the form and a short read. The model's number shows on leagues with a public record. Tap any game to build the full bet: form, head to head, line-ups and 30+ markets you can combine into one slip.
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