Rotherham crestNewport County crest

Rotherham v Newport County bet builder

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:45 · League Two

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Newport County or draw

    59% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 59%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.69 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 52% chance all land
1.94

The model puts this 2-leg build at 52% combined for Rotherham v Newport County. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Rotherham or Draw Double Chance 77% 1.29 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 70% 1.30 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • P. Mullin Rotherham
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Mullin: 1.00 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Fábio Tavares Rotherham
    Shots on target 1+

    Fábio Tavares: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Brandon Ashley Cover Rotherham
    Shots on target 1+

    Brandon Ashley Cover: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Gwengwe Newport County
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Gwengwe: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Mullin Rotherham
    Anytime scorer

    P. Mullin: 0.50 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 1.20 a game

  • H. Biggins Newport County
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Biggins: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 47%
    Corners: Rotherham avg 4.0 for/4.8 against, Newport County avg 4.8 for/5.2 against so expected 9.4 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 72%
    Corners: Rotherham avg 4.0 for/4.8 against, Newport County avg 4.8 for/5.2 against so expected 9.4 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 41%
    Cards: Rotherham avg 2.3/game, Newport County avg 1.9/game so expected 4.2 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 79%
    Cards: Rotherham avg 2.3/game, Newport County avg 1.9/game so expected 4.2 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: Rotherham avg 14.7/game, Newport County avg 14.0/game so expected 28.7 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Rotherham avg 14.7/game, Newport County avg 14.0/game so expected 28.7 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 48%
    Shots: Rotherham avg 11.5/game, Newport County avg 10.9/game so expected 22.4 match shots
  • Over 18.5 Match Shots 79%
    Shots: Rotherham avg 11.5/game, Newport County avg 10.9/game so expected 22.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Rotherham over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Rotherham over 3.5 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.20 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Newport County under 5.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.28 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Rotherham or Draw (double chance) 79% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Newport County over 3 corners 79% market 1xBet
    1.26 +
  • Rotherham or Newport County (double chance) 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.