Correct Score Tips
Correct-score predictions derived from a Poisson goal distribution, filtered by our top-line H2H and Over/Under picks so the scoreline matches the rest of the call.
Today's picks
The number beside each fixture is the model's where the league is on the record, and the market's elsewhere. The price alongside.
About this market
Correct score is the toughest soccer market: odds are typically 6/1 or longer because there are dozens of plausible outcomes. We don't tip a single "banker" correct score; instead we list the four most likely scorelines for each fixture, ranked by probability, with the odds attached. Use them as small-stake long shots inside accas, not as singles. Every score is filtered through the H2H lens: if our headline pick is HOME WIN + OVER 2.5, we won't show 1-1 even if pure Poisson liked it. Self-consistency over false certainty.
Want the full picture? Read our methodology page or download the verified record at /track-record.
More tips: Over 2.5 goals · Under 2.5 goals · Under 3.5 goals · Both teams to score · Draw no bet · Double chance · Predictions by league
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.