Free Serie A predictions: the model's favourite on every fixture with the best price beside it, and the model's calls graded on the public record, misses included.
33 Serie A matches in the next 16 days
the model's favourite Udinese 51% 1.80
Over 2.5 46% at 2.00 · Both to score 53%
Lecce out: Medon Berisha, Willem Geubbels
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite AC Milan 53% 1.75
Over 2.5 52% at 1.80 · Both to score 53%
AC Milan out: Matteo Gabbia
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite Juventus 55% 1.62
Over 2.5 47% at 1.91 · Both to score 53%
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
The model's number is free on every game. FBB Pro adds the desk's grade on every market and the singles we'd pick ourselves. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
the model's favourite Cagliari 42% 3.00
Over 2.5 49% at 2.10 · Both to score 52%
Monza out: Matteo Pessina, Gianluca Caprari, Leonardo Colombo
Cagliari out: Kevin Carlos, Riyad Idrissi
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite Torino 48% 2.30
Over 2.5 40% at 2.38 · Both to score 50%
The desk's card on this game is in Pro.
the model's favourite Torino 47% 2.05
Over 2.5 54% at 2.00 · Both to score 55%
the model's favourite Como 65% 1.44
Over 2.5 65% at 1.50 · Both to score 59%
the model's favourite Bologna 47% 2.45
Over 2.5 39% at 2.20 · Both to score 47%
the model's favourite AS Roma 46% 2.30
Over 2.5 48% at 1.91 · Both to score 56%
the model's favourite Lazio 59% 1.53
Over 2.5 50% at 2.00 · Both to score 47%
the model's favourite Inter 67% 1.36
Over 2.5 71% at 1.44 · Both to score 64%
the model's favourite Atalanta 54% 1.62
Over 2.5 63% at 1.44 · Both to score 60%
the model's favourite Genoa 45% 2.05
Over 2.5 55% at 1.91 · Both to score 56%
the model's favourite Juventus 61% 1.44
Over 2.5 55% at 1.91 · Both to score 51%
the model's favourite AC Milan 57% 1.75
Over 2.5 48% at 1.91 · Both to score 54%
Over 2.5 43% · Both to score 45%
Over 2.5 51% · Both to score 46%
Over 2.5 43% · Both to score 45%
Over 2.5 39% · Both to score 48%
Over 2.5 70% · Both to score 68%
Over 2.5 51% · Both to score 42%
Over 2.5 61% · Both to score 53%
Over 2.5 51% · Both to score 46%
Over 2.5 50% · Both to score 43%
Over 2.5 43% · Both to score 42%
Over 2.5 63% · Both to score 55%
Over 2.5 35% · Both to score 29%
Over 2.5 50% · Both to score 47%
Over 2.5 56% · Both to score 46%
Over 2.5 35% · Both to score 51%
Over 2.5 56% · Both to score 51%
Over 2.5 59% · Both to score 52%
Over 2.5 41% · Both to score 46%
Serie A models reward patience. Italy's top flight has the lowest goals-per-game of the European top-five for a reason: tactical setups skew defensively, set-piece routines are more refined than anywhere outside Bundesliga corner specialists, and the gap between mid-table and the bottom three is narrower than any other league we cover. We lean on expected-goals splits and head-to-head form weighted by venue here more than we do for the Premier League. Below: every upcoming Serie A fixture with our probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals lands more often here than in any other top-five league we track, and the prices know it, so the under is rarely long. Each fixture page includes the best price across the UK books we track, recent form and the head-to-head record. Every call the model makes here is graded in public, misses included.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the Serie A, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct |
 
Bologna
v
Inter
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-3 | Won |
| 13 Oct |
 
Torino
v
Udinese
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 12 Oct |
 
Atalanta
v
Venezia
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 3-1 | Won |
| 12 Oct |
 
Cagliari
v
Juventus
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
| 11 Oct |
 
Sassuolo
v
AC Milan
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
| 11 Oct |
 
Como
v
AS Roma
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| 11 Oct |
 
Napoli
v
Frosinone
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 3-0 | Won |
| 10 Oct |
Inter
v
Parma
Home win
|
Home win | 3-0 | Won |
| 10 Oct |
 
Genoa
v
Fiorentina
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 20 Sep |
Juventus
v
Atalanta
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-0 | Won |
| 20 Sep |
Fiorentina
v
Napoli
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
| 14 Sep |
Como
v
Parma
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 14 Sep |
Napoli
v
Bologna
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 1-0 | Won |
| 14 Sep |
Napoli
v
Bologna
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 14 Sep |
Sassuolo
v
Juventus
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 3-2 | Won |
Every Serie A call the model makes is logged before kick-off and graded win or loss on the public record, misses included. The record link on this page opens it, with the full settled history on the track record page.
Tactical setups skew defensively, set-piece routines are more refined than anywhere outside Bundesliga corner specialists, and the gap between mid-table and the bottom three is narrower than any other league we cover.
Under 2.5 goals lands more often in Serie A than in any other top-five league we track, and the prices reflect it. The record page grades every call by market, so you can check it for yourself.
Coppa Italia fixtures appear when scheduled inside our seven-day window. Like the FA Cup we treat early rounds as a different regime to the knockouts.
Head-to-head form weighted by venue carries more weight in Serie A than in the Premier League. The tactical consistency of Italian sides means recent H2H meetings are a genuinely predictive signal.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Coverage is the Italian top flight only at present.
Our model reads the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, the form and the head to head to produce Serie A predictions. Every fixture shows the best price we can find beside the model's number, on the match result, both teams to score, the goals lines and more.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.
Lecce
Lazio
Monza
