Como crestSassuolo crest

Como v Sassuolo bet builder

Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Como or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Como or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land
1.27

The model puts this 2-leg build at 79% combined for Como v Sassuolo. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 73% 1.30 +
  • Como Home Win 66% 1.46 +
  • Como (first half) First Half 55% 1.90 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.71 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • N. Paz Como
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Paz: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (71 min), 14% weight

  • D. Berardi Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Berardi: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Thorstvedt Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Thorstvedt: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 1.34/90 over 2 games (67 min), 14% weight

  • A. Laurienté Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Laurienté: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Vasilije Adžić Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    Vasilije Adžić: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Assane Diao Como
    Shots on target 1+

    Assane Diao: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Paz Como
    Shots on target 2+

    N. Paz: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (71 min), 14% weight

  • K. Bowie Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Bowie: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Berardi Sassuolo
    Shots on target 2+

    D. Berardi: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Como avg 5.9 for/4.2 against, Sassuolo avg 3.6 for/5.7 against so expected 9.7 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 75%
    Corners: Como avg 5.9 for/4.2 against, Sassuolo avg 3.6 for/5.7 against so expected 9.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 49%
    Cards: Como avg 1.9/game, Sassuolo avg 1.8/game so expected 3.6 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Como avg 1.9/game, Sassuolo avg 1.8/game so expected 3.6 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 49%
    Fouls: Como avg 10.3/game, Sassuolo avg 10.2/game so expected 20.5 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Como avg 10.3/game, Sassuolo avg 10.2/game so expected 20.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Como avg 17.8/game, Sassuolo avg 15.6/game so expected 33.5 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Como avg 17.8/game, Sassuolo avg 15.6/game so expected 33.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Como under 3.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Sassuolo over 1.5 corners 85% market 1xBet
    1.18 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Sassuolo under 4.5 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 78% market 1xBet
    1.28 +
  • Como over 4.5 corners 78% market 1xBet
    1.28 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Sassuolo under 1.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.