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Genoa v Juventus bet builder

Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Juventus or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Juventus or draw (100%).

    1.00 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 76% chance all land
1.31

The model puts this 2-leg build at 76% combined for Genoa v Juventus. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.31 +
  • Juventus Away Win 58% 1.65 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • E. Zhegrova Juventus
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Zhegrova: 1.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Junior Messias Genoa
    Shots on target 1+

    Junior Messias: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Vítinha Genoa
    Shots on target 1+

    Vítinha: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Zhegrova Juventus
    Shots on target 2+

    E. Zhegrova: 1.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 42%
    Corners: Genoa avg 4.4 for/4.1 against, Juventus avg 6.1 for/3.5 against so expected 9.1 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Genoa avg 4.4 for/4.1 against, Juventus avg 6.1 for/3.5 against so expected 9.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 53%
    Cards: Genoa avg 2.1/game, Juventus avg 1.7/game so expected 3.8 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 73%
    Cards: Genoa avg 2.1/game, Juventus avg 1.7/game so expected 3.8 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 57%
    Fouls: Genoa avg 9.4/game, Juventus avg 12.1/game so expected 21.5 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 73%
    Fouls: Genoa avg 9.4/game, Juventus avg 12.1/game so expected 21.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 49%
    Shots: Genoa avg 11.3/game, Juventus avg 15.2/game so expected 26.5 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 78%
    Shots: Genoa avg 11.3/game, Juventus avg 15.2/game so expected 26.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Genoa under 1.5 goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 81% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 81% market Pinnacle
    1.29 +
  • Juventus under 2.5 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Genoa or Juventus (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Juventus over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 78% market Pinnacle
    1.34 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 74% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Genoa under 1 goals 72% market Marathon Bet
    1.39 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 71% market William Hill
    1.40 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.