Lazio v Parma bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.70 +
Lazio to win
59% the modelRecord this market has landed 71% across 195 graded picks
Our board prices this at 59%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 45%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 51% combined for Lazio v Parma. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.30 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 71% 1.27 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Zaccagni LazioShots on target 1+
M. Zaccagni: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. Noslin LazioShots on target 1+
T. Noslin: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Cancellieri LazioShots on target 1+
M. Cancellieri: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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E. Touré ParmaShots on target 1+
E. Touré: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Zaccagni LazioShots on target 2+
M. Zaccagni: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Frattesi LazioShots on target 1+
D. Frattesi: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Nuno Tavares LazioShots on target 1+
Nuno Tavares: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 49%Corners: Lazio avg 4.1 for/5.7 against, Parma avg 2.9 for/6.4 against so expected 9.6 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%Corners: Lazio avg 4.1 for/5.7 against, Parma avg 2.9 for/6.4 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 43%Cards: Lazio avg 2.2/game, Parma avg 1.1/game so expected 3.3 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Lazio avg 2.2/game, Parma avg 1.1/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 49%Fouls: Lazio avg 12.7/game, Parma avg 9.9/game so expected 22.6 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Lazio avg 12.7/game, Parma avg 9.9/game so expected 22.6 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 44%Shots: Lazio avg 13.4/game, Parma avg 8.6/game so expected 22.0 match shots
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Over 18.5 Match Shots 77%Shots: Lazio avg 13.4/game, Parma avg 8.6/game so expected 22.0 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Lazio over 1 goals 83% market 1xBet1.22 +
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Over 0.5 second half goals 82% market William Hill1.30 +
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Under 2 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Under 3.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.30 +
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Over 1.5 goals 78% market BetVictor1.32 +
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Lazio under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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Parma under 1 goals 74% market Marathon Bet1.35 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market Bet3651.40 +
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Under 1.5 first half goals 72% market William Hill1.40 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.