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Torino v Monza bet builder

Friday 23 October 2026, 19:45 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Torino or draw

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 76%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.31 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 67% chance all land
1.50

The model puts this 2-leg build at 67% combined for Torino v Monza. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.31 +
  • Monza or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.74 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Gustavo Varela Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    Gustavo Varela: 1.00 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Birindelli Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Birindelli: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Vlašić Torino
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Vlašić: 0.33 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 0.90/90 over 2 games (100 min), 19% weight

  • L. Lucchesi Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Lucchesi: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Torino avg 3.5 for/3.8 against, Monza avg 5.0 for/5.0 against so expected 8.7 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 76%
    Corners: Torino avg 3.5 for/3.8 against, Monza avg 5.0 for/5.0 against so expected 8.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 45%
    Cards: Torino avg 0.7/game, Monza avg 1.8/game so expected 2.5 match cards
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 42%
    Fouls: Torino avg 9.5/game, Monza avg 12.2/game so expected 21.7 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 75%
    Fouls: Torino avg 9.5/game, Monza avg 12.2/game so expected 21.7 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 55%
    Shots: Torino avg 9.8/game, Monza avg 15.6/game so expected 25.4 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Torino avg 9.8/game, Monza avg 15.6/game so expected 25.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Torino over 0.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Torino under 6.5 corners 82% market Betano
    1.22 +
  • Monza under 5.5 corners 82% market Betano
    1.22 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 81% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Torino or Draw (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Torino or Monza (double chance) 79% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 6.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.26 +
  • Torino under 2 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Under 10.5 corners 78% market 1xBet
    1.30 +
  • Monza over 2.5 corners 78% market Betano
    1.30 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.