AS Roma crestCagliari crest

AS Roma v Cagliari bet builder

Tuesday 27 October 2026, 19:45 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • AS Roma or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, AS Roma or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 69% chance all land
1.46

The model puts this 2-leg build at 69% combined for AS Roma v Cagliari. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.21 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.42 +
  • AS Roma Home Win 64% 1.36 +
  • AS Roma (first half) First Half 56% 1.80 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Soulé AS Roma
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Soulé: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Romano Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Romano: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Maldini Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Maldini: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Pisilli AS Roma
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Pisilli: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Soulé AS Roma
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Soulé: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Mendy Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Mendy: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 44%
    Corners: AS Roma avg 5.3 for/3.9 against, Cagliari avg 4.1 for/5.2 against so expected 9.2 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: AS Roma avg 5.3 for/3.9 against, Cagliari avg 4.1 for/5.2 against so expected 9.2 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 45%
    Cards: AS Roma avg 1.9/game, Cagliari avg 1.5/game so expected 3.4 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: AS Roma avg 1.9/game, Cagliari avg 1.5/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 48%
    Fouls: AS Roma avg 12.4/game, Cagliari avg 10.0/game so expected 22.4 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 79%
    Fouls: AS Roma avg 12.4/game, Cagliari avg 10.0/game so expected 22.4 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 44%
    Shots: AS Roma avg 15.0/game, Cagliari avg 10.9/game so expected 25.9 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 74%
    Shots: AS Roma avg 15.0/game, Cagliari avg 10.9/game so expected 25.9 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 1.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • AS Roma under 3 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Cagliari under 1 goals 78% market 1xBet
    1.32 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 2 goals 76% market Betano
    1.36 +
  • AS Roma to win 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.33 +
  • AS Roma over 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.