Sassuolo crestLazio crest

Sassuolo v Lazio bet builder

Tuesday 27 October 2026, 17:30 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Lazio or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Lazio or draw (90%).

    1.11 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land
1.27

The model puts this 2-leg build at 79% combined for Sassuolo v Lazio. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • D. Berardi Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Berardi: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Zaccagni Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Zaccagni: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Thorstvedt Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Thorstvedt: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 1.34/90 over 2 games (67 min), 14% weight

  • A. Laurienté Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Laurienté: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Vasilije Adžić Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    Vasilije Adžić: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Noslin Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Noslin: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Berardi Sassuolo
    Shots on target 2+

    D. Berardi: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Bowie Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Bowie: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Cancellieri Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Cancellieri: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Frattesi Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Frattesi: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Nuno Tavares Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    Nuno Tavares: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 48%
    Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.6 for/5.7 against, Lazio avg 4.1 for/5.7 against so expected 9.5 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.6 for/5.7 against, Lazio avg 4.1 for/5.7 against so expected 9.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 57%
    Cards: Sassuolo avg 1.8/game, Lazio avg 2.2/game so expected 4.0 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 76%
    Cards: Sassuolo avg 1.8/game, Lazio avg 2.2/game so expected 4.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 52%
    Fouls: Sassuolo avg 10.2/game, Lazio avg 12.7/game so expected 22.9 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Sassuolo avg 10.2/game, Lazio avg 12.7/game so expected 22.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 67%
    Shots: Sassuolo avg 15.6/game, Lazio avg 13.4/game so expected 29.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Sassuolo avg 15.6/game, Lazio avg 13.4/game so expected 29.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.