Lecce v Genoa bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.43 +
Lecce or draw
70% the modelRecord this market has landed 83% across 268 graded picks
The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Lecce or draw (70%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.
-
1.31 +
Over 2.5 Goals
76% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 53% combined for Lecce v Genoa. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
-
L. Coulibaly LecceShots on target 1+
L. Coulibaly: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
Junior Messias GenoaShots on target 1+
Junior Messias: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
Vítinha GenoaShots on target 1+
Vítinha: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
Tiago Gabriel LecceShots on target 1+
Tiago Gabriel: 0.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
N. Štulić LecceShots on target 1+
N. Štulić: 0.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
-
Over 8.5 Match Corners 52%Corners: Lecce avg 4.7 for/4.4 against, Genoa avg 4.4 for/4.1 against so expected 8.8 match corners
-
Over 6.5 Match Corners 77%Corners: Lecce avg 4.7 for/4.4 against, Genoa avg 4.4 for/4.1 against so expected 8.8 match corners; the safer line
-
Over 4.5 Match Cards 45%Cards: Lecce avg 2.3/game, Genoa avg 2.1/game so expected 4.4 match cards
-
Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Lecce avg 2.3/game, Genoa avg 2.1/game so expected 4.4 match cards; the safer line
-
Over 22.5 Match Fouls 54%Fouls: Lecce avg 13.7/game, Genoa avg 9.4/game so expected 23.1 match fouls
-
Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Lecce avg 13.7/game, Genoa avg 9.4/game so expected 23.1 match fouls; the safer line
-
Over 22.5 Match Shots 34%Shots: Lecce avg 9.6/game, Genoa avg 11.3/game so expected 20.8 match shots
-
Over 16.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Lecce avg 9.6/game, Genoa avg 11.3/game so expected 20.8 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.