Napoli crestBodo/Glimt crest

Napoli v Bodo/Glimt bet builder

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:00 · Champions League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Bodo/Glimt or draw

    45% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 45%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    2.21 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 35% chance all land
2.90

The model puts this 2-leg build at 35% combined for Napoli v Bodo/Glimt. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.28 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.67 +
  • Napoli Home Win 54% 1.61 +
  • Napoli (first half) First Half 50% 2.06 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • O. Didrik Blomberg Bodo/Glimt
    Shots on target 1+

    O. Didrik Blomberg: 0.73 shots on target a game over 22 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Hauge Bodo/Glimt
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Hauge: 0.68 shots on target a game over 19 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Berg Bodo/Glimt
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Berg: 0.70 shots on target a game over 20 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 3 games (149 min), 26% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 42%
    Corners: Napoli avg 5.6 for/3.3 against, Bodo/Glimt avg 5.1 for/4.0 against so expected 9.0 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Napoli avg 5.6 for/3.3 against, Bodo/Glimt avg 5.1 for/4.0 against so expected 9.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 25%
    Cards: Napoli avg 1.2/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 0.6/game so expected 1.7 match cards
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 29%
    Fouls: Napoli avg 8.9/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 9.4/game so expected 18.3 match fouls
  • Over 14.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Napoli avg 8.9/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 9.4/game so expected 18.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 65%
    Shots: Napoli avg 14.0/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 14.7/game so expected 28.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Napoli avg 14.0/game, Bodo/Glimt avg 14.7/game so expected 28.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Napoli under 3 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 78% market BetVictor
    1.28 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 4 goals 74% market BetVictor
    1.36 +
  • Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Over 8.5 corners 71% market 1xBet
    1.41 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.50 +
  • Napoli over 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.50 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.