Napoli crestBodo/Glimt crest

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:00 Champions League

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1154 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Napoli crestNapoli 54% Draw 23% Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt 23%

The read

The desk

Napoli host Bodo/Glimt as favourites but arrive patchy at home and without two regulars, while the Norwegians travel on a healthier run. The home side being sold as a straightforward banker isn't as safe as the price implies, and the shape of this game reads closer to a toss-up.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.50Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.50

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Napoli crestNapoli

De Bruyne: out (hamstring, long-term) · Anguissa: out (long-term)

Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

No absences found.

Checked Sat 17 Oct, 02:54.

3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Napoli Win (treated as a home banker) 1.60

The trap is backing Napoli at 1.60 like an easy home tick against a smaller Norwegian name. The numbers say otherwise: home form is just 3W-2L with zero draws in that sample, overall form reads L W D W L, and the pack has Napoli at table position 32 this season. De Bruyne and Anguissa are both out long-term. Bodo/Glimt arrive in better form at 4W-1L.

The research desk on this game:

“Napoli's home form and injury list make the 1.60 banker shakier than Bodo/Glimt's form run”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Napoli win 54% 1.62 62%
Draw 23% 4.33 23%
Bodo/Glimt win 23% 5.00 20%
Napoli or draw 1.18 85%
Bodo/Glimt or draw 45% 2.30 43%
Either side to win, no draw 1.22 82%
Over 2.5 goals 66% 1.50 67%
Both teams to score 56% 1.55 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.25
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Napoli under 3 goals Marathon Bet 1.25
Under 2 first half goals BetVictor 1.28
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.33
Bodo/Glimt over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.36
Bodo/Glimt under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Over 8.5 corners 1xBet 1.41
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.50
Napoli over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Under 2.5 goals 2.50 to 2.68 drifting, longer
Draw 4.00 to 4.20 drifting, longer
Away win 5.00 to 4.75 shortening
Home win 1.55 to 1.60 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 1.53 to 1.50 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Napoli crestNapoli LLWDWL

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 6 scored, 6 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Venezia crestat Venezia 0-1 Lost
Tue 13 Oct Villarreal crestat Villarreal 1-3 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Frosinone crestv Frosinone 3-0 Won
Sun 20 Sep Fiorentina crestat Fiorentina 1-1 Drew
Sun 13 Sep Bologna crestv Bologna 1-0 Won
Wed 9 Sep Arsenal crestv Arsenal 0-1 Lost
Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt WWWLWL

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 10 scored, 10 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Hamarkameratene crestat Hamarkameratene 2-0 Won
Wed 14 Oct Borussia Dortmund crestv Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Won
Sat 10 Oct Kristiansund BK crestv Kristiansund BK 3-1 Won
Sun 20 Sep SK Brann crestat SK Brann 1-2 Lost
Mon 14 Sep Sandefjord crestv Sandefjord 3-2 Won
Thu 10 Sep Bayern Munich crestat Bayern Munich 0-5 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Napoli v Bodo/Glimt: the numbers

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Napoli crestNapoliBodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt 32League position- 0-0-2League record, won-drawn-lost- 1-4Goals for and against0-0 0-0-1Home record v away record- 0.50Scored a game2.41 2.00Conceded a game1.07 2.00xG for a game2.47 39%Clean sheets45% 21%Failed to score10% 47%Both teams scored45%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Napoli v Bodo/Glimt: head to head

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A first meeting: Napoli and Bodo/Glimt have not played each other in the record we hold.

Likely scorelines

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2-13%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt: FAQs

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Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.50. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt kick off?

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Champions League).

What are the best odds for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

The best prices across the books we track: Napoli 1.62, the draw 4.33, Bodo/Glimt 5.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Napoli: De Bruyne: out (hamstring, long-term), Anguissa: out (long-term). Bodo/Glimt: no absences found.

What form are Napoli and Bodo/Glimt in?

Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L L W D W L, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 6. Bodo/Glimt have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W W L W L, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 10.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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