Notts County crestSheffield Wednesday crest

Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday bet builder

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:45 · League One

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Sheffield Wednesday or draw

    70% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 70%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 100%.)

    1.43 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 53% chance all land
1.87

The model puts this 2-leg build at 53% combined for Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.22 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.37 +
  • Notts County or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.58 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • J. Lowe Sheffield Wednesday
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Lowe: 1.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Roberts Notts County
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Roberts: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Smyth Notts County
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Smyth: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • O. Cooper Notts County
    Shots on target 1+

    O. Cooper: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Mason Paul James Burstow Sheffield Wednesday
    Shots on target 1+

    Mason Paul James Burstow: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Morrison Sheffield Wednesday
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Morrison: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Lowe Sheffield Wednesday
    Shots on target 2+

    J. Lowe: 1.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 45%
    Corners: Notts County avg 3.7 for/4.2 against, Sheffield Wednesday avg 4.9 for/5.8 against so expected 9.3 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Notts County avg 3.7 for/4.2 against, Sheffield Wednesday avg 4.9 for/5.8 against so expected 9.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 51%
    Cards: Notts County avg 2.3/game, Sheffield Wednesday avg 1.4/game so expected 3.7 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 72%
    Cards: Notts County avg 2.3/game, Sheffield Wednesday avg 1.4/game so expected 3.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 66%
    Fouls: Notts County avg 13.4/game, Sheffield Wednesday avg 13.3/game so expected 26.7 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Notts County avg 13.4/game, Sheffield Wednesday avg 13.3/game so expected 26.7 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 44%
    Shots: Notts County avg 11.3/game, Sheffield Wednesday avg 14.6/game so expected 25.9 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 74%
    Shots: Notts County avg 11.3/game, Sheffield Wednesday avg 14.6/game so expected 25.9 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 83% market BetVictor
    1.26 +
  • Notts County or Sheffield Wednesday (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Notts County over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market BetVictor
    1.36 +
  • Sheffield Wednesday under 2 goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Over 2 goals 75% market BetVictor
    1.37 +
  • Sheffield Wednesday or Draw (double chance) 74% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Sheffield Wednesday over 1 goals 74% market Marathon Bet
    1.36 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market BetVictor
    1.46 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.