Lillestrom crestReal Sociedad crest

Lillestrom v Real Sociedad bet builder

Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00 · Europa League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Lillestrom or draw

    43% the model

    Our board prices this at 43%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    2.31 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 33% chance all land
3.04

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Lillestrom v Real Sociedad, 33% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 78% 1.18 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 62% 1.48 +
  • Real Sociedad Away Win 52% 1.52 +
  • Real Sociedad (first half) First Half 51% 2.00 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • T. Lehne Olsen Lillestrom
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Lehne Olsen: 0.88 shots on target a game over 16 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Karlsbakk Lillestrom
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Karlsbakk: 0.80 shots on target a game over 15 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Drammeh Lillestrom
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Drammeh: 0.67 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Vá Lillestrom
    Shots on target 1+

    Vá: 0.55 shots on target a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Ranger Lillestrom
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Ranger: 0.40 shots on target a game over 20 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 45%
    Corners: Lillestrom avg 6.4 for/5.3 against, Real Sociedad avg 6.7 for/4.1 against so expected 11.2 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: Lillestrom avg 6.4 for/5.3 against, Real Sociedad avg 6.7 for/4.1 against so expected 11.2 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 46%
    Cards: Lillestrom avg 2.1/game, Real Sociedad avg 2.4/game so expected 4.5 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Lillestrom avg 2.1/game, Real Sociedad avg 2.4/game so expected 4.5 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 42%
    Fouls: Lillestrom avg 11.2/game, Real Sociedad avg 12.5/game so expected 23.7 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 74%
    Fouls: Lillestrom avg 11.2/game, Real Sociedad avg 12.5/game so expected 23.7 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 51%
    Shots: Lillestrom avg 14.3/game, Real Sociedad avg 12.5/game so expected 26.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 79%
    Shots: Lillestrom avg 14.3/game, Real Sociedad avg 12.5/game so expected 26.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Real Sociedad under 3 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Under 4 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Lillestrom under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 2 goals 79% market BetVictor
    1.28 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.