1899 Hoffenheim crestLyon crest

1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon bet builder

Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00 · Europa League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Lyon or Draw

    56% the model

    The outright win sits at only 26%, so we take the safer Double Chance (56%) covering the same side.

    1.78 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 4.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.03 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 54% chance all land
1.84

Built from the bookmakers' prices for 1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon, 54% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw Double Chance 75% 1.32 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 75% 1.26 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.63 +

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • 1899 Hoffenheim over 1 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Lyon under 2 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • 1899 Hoffenheim or Lyon (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Lyon over 0.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw (double chance) 77% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • 1899 Hoffenheim under 2.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 4 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.