Jagiellonia crestAnderlecht crest

Jagiellonia v Anderlecht bet builder

Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00 · Europa League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Anderlecht or Draw

    70% the model

    Win if away team wins or draws. Away avoid defeat 75% of games.

    1.43 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Avg 3.0 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 53% chance all land
1.88

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Jagiellonia v Anderlecht, 53% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 3.5 Goals 65% 1.40 +
  • Jagiellonia or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.60 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals 56% 1.75 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 46%
    Corners: Jagiellonia avg 2.7 for/7.0 against, Anderlecht avg 5.3 for/3.7 against so expected 9.3 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Jagiellonia avg 2.7 for/7.0 against, Anderlecht avg 5.3 for/3.7 against so expected 9.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 58%
    Cards: Jagiellonia avg 1.7/game, Anderlecht avg 1.3/game so expected 3.0 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Jagiellonia avg 1.7/game, Anderlecht avg 1.3/game so expected 3.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 47%
    Fouls: Jagiellonia avg 13.0/game, Anderlecht avg 11.3/game so expected 24.3 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: Jagiellonia avg 13.0/game, Anderlecht avg 11.3/game so expected 24.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 45%
    Shots: Jagiellonia avg 10.7/game, Anderlecht avg 13.3/game so expected 24.0 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 76%
    Shots: Jagiellonia avg 10.7/game, Anderlecht avg 13.3/game so expected 24.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Anderlecht over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Jagiellonia over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Anderlecht under 2 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +
  • Jagiellonia or Anderlecht (double chance) 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market BetVictor
    1.34 +
  • Over 2 goals 75% market BetVictor
    1.35 +
  • Anderlecht or Draw (double chance) 74% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 68% market William Hill
    1.50 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.