Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00 Premier League1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Leeds 36%
Draw 26%
Manchester United 39%
The read
The deskLeeds arrive unbeaten in five at home and short only Joe Rodon and Mateo Joseph, while Manchester United travel with Shaw, Mainoo and Mazraoui all doubtful and Dorgu and Seko already out. That points toward goals and a home result, with United winning just once away in five.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeLeedsJoe Rodon: out (thigh) · Mateo Joseph: out (knee) · Dan James: doubt (back)
Manchester UnitedBenjamin Seko: out (shin) · Patrick Dorgu: out · Luke Shaw: doubt · Kobbie Mainoo: doubt · Noussair Mazraoui: doubt
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 12:20.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProLeeds are unbeaten in their last 5 at home (3W 2D) and sit 7th; Man Utd have won just 1 of their last 5 away and sit 13th. Man Utd arrive with Seko and Dorgu already out and Shaw, Mainoo and Mazraoui doubtful after missing the Atletico Madrid trip, thinning exactly the areas that have to hold up at a ground where Leeds haven't lost in 5.
“Leeds' unbeaten home run and United's threadbare back line point to goals and a Leeds point.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 36% | 2.38 | 42% |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 | 29% |
| Manchester United win | 39% | 2.80 | 36% |
| Leeds or draw | 73% | 1.44 | 69% |
| Manchester United or draw | 63% | 1.57 | 64% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.29 | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.68 | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.60 | 62% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeLeeds
LDWLDD
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost. 10 scored, 11 conceded.
at Arsenal
1-2
Lost
v Crystal Palace
0-0
Drew
v Newcastle United
4-1
Won
at Chelsea
3-6
Lost
at Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
Drew
v Brentford
1-1
Drew
Manchester United
LDDLLW
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 8 scored, 8 conceded.
at Atlético Madrid
0-2
Lost
v Tottenham Hotspur
1-1
Drew
at Fulham
1-1
Drew
v Brighton & Hove Albion
2-3
Lost
v Manchester City
0-1
Lost
v Sabah FK
4-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Leeds v Manchester United: the numbers
Always freeLeedsManchester United
8League position14
2-3-1League record, won-drawn-lost1-3-2
8-5Goals for and against9-9
9Points6
1-2-0Home record v away record0-2-1
1.33Scored a game1.50
0.83Conceded a game1.50
1.41xG for a game1.75
21%Clean sheets21%
32%Failed to score11%
58%Both teams scored71%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Leeds v Manchester United: head to head
Always freeManchester United v Leeds
1-1
Manchester United v Leeds
1-2
Leeds v Manchester United
1-1
Manchester United v Leeds
0-0
Manchester United v Leeds
2-0
Leeds v Manchester United
0-2
Manchester United v Leeds
2-2
Leeds v Manchester United
2-4
Manchester United v Leeds
5-1
Leeds v Manchester United
0-0
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Leeds vs Manchester United: FAQs
Always freeLeeds vs Manchester United prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Leeds vs Manchester United kick off?
Leeds vs Manchester United kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time (Premier League).
What are the best odds for Leeds vs Manchester United?
The best prices across the books we track: Leeds 2.38, the draw 3.50, Manchester United 2.80. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Leeds vs Manchester United?
Leeds: Joe Rodon: out (thigh), Mateo Joseph: out (knee), Dan James: doubt (back). Manchester United: Benjamin Seko: out (shin), Patrick Dorgu: out, Luke Shaw: doubt, Kobbie Mainoo: doubt, Noussair Mazraoui: doubt.
What form are Leeds and Manchester United in?
Leeds have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L D W L D D, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 11. Manchester United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D D L L W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 8.
What is the head to head between Leeds and Manchester United?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Leeds won 1, Manchester United won 4 and 5 were drawn. The most recent, 12 Aug 2026, finished Manchester United 1-1 Leeds.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.