Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction
Full time 1-3
Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:15 Ligue 1Full time. The result is on the record.
1155 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
Le Havre 41%
Draw 25%
Auxerre 33%
The read
The deskBoth sides arrive out of form. Le Havre are winless in their last five at home (D L L L D) and sit 18th; Auxerre have won just once in their last five away (L L L W L) and sit 16th. The head to head backs a decisive game too: only 3 of the last 10 meetings were drawn, with 5 home wins and 2 away wins split the rest. Team news from this search window is thin: no fresh, dated absences turned up for either club, and the one solid long-term fact is Auxerre's Bryan Okoh, still out with the ACL injury that ended his 2025-26 season. Didier Digard remains in charge at Le Havre, Will Still has run Auxerre since June 2026, neither reported under pressure this week. The angle is simple: two bottom-half sides this loss-heavy rarely produce a stalemate, which favors goals over a repeat of either side's current drought, and that same loss-heavy shape argues for one side blanking rather than both scoring. The call stays on Over 1.5, backed by how rarely these matches finish level rather than by any team-news swing; nothing found this week moves it.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeLe HavreNo absences found.
AuxerreOkoh: out (ACL, long-term)
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 12:33.
The research
ProH2H: only 3 of the last 10 meetings were drawn (5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins); Auxerre have avoided defeat in just 1 of their last 5 away games (L L L W L), pointing to decisive, goal-bearing matches rather than stalemates.
Results on both sides have mostly been decisive rather than routs: Auxerre's away run is 4 losses from 5 (L L L W L) without a single draw, and the h2h has produced only 2 away wins in 10, both patterns pointing to tight scorelines rather than blowouts.
H2H leans this way hard: 8 of the last 10 meetings were not away wins (5 home wins, 3 draws); Auxerre have won only 1 of their last 5 away games (L L L W L).
Neither side looks free-scoring right now: Le Havre have 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 at home, and Auxerre have 4 losses in their last 5 away; both runs fit one side blanking more than both scoring.
Auxerre have avoided defeat in only 1 of their last 5 away games (L L L W L); across the last 10 h2h meetings there have been just 2 away wins (plus 3 draws), so even the draw route for the away side is thin.
Both sides arrive loss-heavy rather than two-way scoring: Le Havre have 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 5 at home, Auxerre have 4 losses in their last 5 away, with nothing in the pack to show both ends firing together.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 12:33. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. No fresh absences turned up for either club this week. The h2h (only 3 draws in 10) and the current loss-heavy, draw-shy form on both sides (2 draws in 5 for Le Havre at home, 0 draws in 5 for Auxerre away) back the model's call rather than undercutting it.
“Two bottom-half sides rarely draw and rarely win away, so goals look the safer read than the scoreline.”
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre win | 41% | 2.25 | 44% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.50 | 29% |
| Auxerre win | 33% | 3.10 | 32% |
| Le Havre or draw | 74% | 1.36 | 74% |
| Auxerre or draw | 62% | 1.62 | 62% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.80 | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
25 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeLe Havre
LLLDLD
Last 6, newest first: 0 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost. 5 scored, 10 conceded.
v AJ Auxerre
1-3
Lost
at Lille
0-1
Lost
at Toulouse
2-3
Lost
v Angers
0-0
Drew
v Brest
1-2
Lost
at Lyon
1-1
Drew
Auxerre
WLWWLL
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 9 scored, 12 conceded.
at Le Havre AC
3-1
Won
at Stade Rennais
1-4
Lost
v Brest
2-1
Won
v Nice
1-0
Won
at Lyon
1-3
Lost
v Angers
1-3
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Le Havre v Auxerre: the numbers
Always freeLe HavreAuxerre
18League position12
0-2-5League record, won-drawn-lost3-0-4
5-11Goals for and against11-17
2Points9
0-1-3Home record v away record1-0-3
0.71Scored a game1.57
1.57Conceded a game2.43
1.38xG for a game1.47
24%Clean sheets26%
41%Failed to score47%
50%Both teams scored41%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Le Havre v Auxerre: head to head
Always freeOnly 1 meeting on our record, too few to read a pattern from.
Le Havre AC v AJ Auxerre
1-3
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: FAQs
Always freeLe Havre vs Auxerre prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.25. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Le Havre vs Auxerre kick off?
Le Havre vs Auxerre kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:15 UK time (Ligue 1).
What are the best odds for Le Havre vs Auxerre?
The best prices across the books we track: Le Havre 2.25, the draw 3.50, Auxerre 3.10. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Le Havre: no absences found. Auxerre: Okoh: out (ACL, long-term).
What form are Le Havre and Auxerre in?
Le Havre have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L L L D L D, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 10. Auxerre have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (W L W W L L, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 12.
What is the head to head between Le Havre and Auxerre?
In their last meeting on our record, Le Havre won 0, Auxerre won 1 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 18 Oct 2026, finished Le Havre AC 1-3 AJ Auxerre.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.