Osasuna vs Racing Santander Prediction
Full time 2-0
Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 La LigaFull time. The result is on the record.
1154 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
Osasuna 45%
Draw 28%
Racing Santander 27%
The read
The deskOsasuna's run reads L D L L L overall and D L W D L at home, one win in their last five at El Sadar. Racing Santander are little better, D L L W L, one win in five, and Osasuna sit 16th in the table regardless. The team news trims Osasuna further: Aimar Oroz is still working back from a hamstring injury and Jorge Herrando is out with a serious adductor tear, per Rotowire and Comuniate. Racing's long-term absentee Manex Lozano, out with an ACL injury, remains sidelined per the same tracker; none of this is fresh in the last 48 hours, it is simply the latest confirmed status for both camps. History between these two has never split the difference either, three wins each in the last six meetings and zero draws, so leaning on a draw as insurance in a double chance has nothing behind it. Goals are the more honest read: both sides are leaking results, and the market prices even a single goal as near certain. The call: Over 1.5 holds. It is the one number the recent form, the head to head and the team news all point at together, and nothing in the absences argues for a flatter game than that.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeOsasunaAimar Oroz: hamstring, doubtful · Jorge Herrando: adductor tear, out · Valentin Rosier: recovering, doubt
Racing SantanderManex Lozano: ACL, out long-term · Giorgi Guliashvili: fibula, expected back
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 02:58.
The research
ProOsasuna's last 5 is L D L L L, home form D L W D L (1 win in 5); Racing's last 5 is D L L W L (1 win, 3 losses). H2H is 3-3 with 0 draws in 6, every one of the last six had a winner. Priced specials have Over 0.75 and Over 1.0 at implied 99+% (best 1.01, Marathon Bet) and Under 4.5 at implied 99+% (best 1.01, Bet365), so the market sees a contained goal count, not a shutout.
H2H is split 3-3 in the last 6, Racing have won exactly half of recent meetings. Their last 5 is D L L W L, only 1 win, but Osasuna sit 16th and go in without Aimar Oroz (hamstring) and Jorge Herrando (adductor tear), per Rotowire and Comuniate.
Osasuna's home form is D L W D L, just 1 win in the last 5 at El Sadar, and the H2H is 0 draws in 6 meetings, this fixture has never once finished level. Leaning on the draw as a cushion for Osasuna ignores that the draw practically never shows up between these two sides.
This price sits in the 1.50-1.74 band where our own graded BTTS record is 36.8% against the 61.4% the price needs, over 57 graded bets. Neither side offers scoring form to override that: Osasuna have 1 win in their last 5 at home, Racing have 1 win in their last 5 overall, and there's no scoring/conceding split for either beyond the win-loss ledger to argue the exception.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 02:58. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. Research backs the model's call: both sides are winless-heavy in their last five (Osasuna 1 win at home, Racing 1 win overall), the head to head has zero draws in six, and the team news doesn't trim either attack enough to flip the goal expectation.
“Over 1.5 is the shape of this game; the home-draw double chance and BTTS yes are traps”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna win | 45% | 1.95 | 51% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.80 | 26% |
| Racing Santander win | 27% | 3.60 | 28% |
| Osasuna or draw | 76% | 1.29 | 78% |
| Racing Santander or draw | 56% | 1.80 | 56% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.67 | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 1.60 | 62% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
25 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeOsasuna
WLDLLL
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 7 scored, 17 conceded.
v Racing Santander
2-0
Won
at Real Betis
2-5
Lost
v Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Drew
at Atlético Madrid
0-4
Lost
v Espanyol
0-2
Lost
at Alaves
2-5
Lost
Racing Santander
LDLLWL
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 8 scored, 20 conceded.
at Osasuna
0-2
Lost
v Valencia
2-2
Drew
at Celta Vigo
0-5
Lost
at Barcelona
2-7
Lost
v Alavés
2-1
Won
at Rayo Vallecano
2-3
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Osasuna v Racing Santander: the numbers
Always freeOsasunaRacing Santander
10League position-
3-2-4League record, won-drawn-lost-
10-18Goals for and against0-0
11Points0
2-2-1Home record v away record-
1.11Scored a game2.11
2.00Conceded a game2.17
1.33xG for a game1.43
18%Clean sheets6%
32%Failed to score22%
55%Both teams scored78%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Osasuna v Racing Santander: head to head
Always freeOsasuna v Racing Santander
2-0
Osasuna v Racing Santander
0-1
Racing Santander v Osasuna
2-4
Osasuna v Racing Santander
0-2
Osasuna v Racing Santander
3-1
Racing Santander v Osasuna
4-1
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: FAQs
Always freeOsasuna vs Racing Santander prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Osasuna vs Racing Santander kick off?
Osasuna vs Racing Santander kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 UK time (La Liga).
What are the best odds for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
The best prices across the books we track: Osasuna 1.95, the draw 3.80, Racing Santander 3.60. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Osasuna: Aimar Oroz: hamstring, doubtful, Jorge Herrando: adductor tear, out, Valentin Rosier: recovering, doubt. Racing Santander: Manex Lozano: ACL, out long-term, Giorgi Guliashvili: fibula, expected back.
What form are Osasuna and Racing Santander in?
Osasuna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W L D L L L, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 17. Racing Santander have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (L D L L W L, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 20.
What is the head to head between Osasuna and Racing Santander?
In their last 6 meetings on our record, Osasuna won 3, Racing Santander won 3 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 24 Jul 2026, finished Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
Fiorentina v Como
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (1-3) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-4) Landed
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Newcastle v Aston Villa
1.62
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Plymouth v Huddersfield
1.65
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Swansea v West Ham
1.67
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.