Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 20:00 La Liga1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Real Madrid 71%
Draw 18%
Sevilla 11%
The read
The deskReal Madrid have won nine of the last ten against Sevilla and are unbeaten in five at home, but Sunday's team sheet is thin, Vinicius suspended, Rodrygo and Militao still out, Mendy also missing. Sevilla travel with a patchy away record and a fresh injury to centre-back Marcao, so expect goals rather than the usual routine.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeReal MadridVinicius Junior: suspended (red card vs Villarreal, Competition Committee ruling pending) · Ferland Mendy: out (thigh)
SevillaMarcao: out (thigh/rectus femoris strain, 3-8 weeks, ruled out of this game)
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 08:56.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProReal Madrid are 5-0 in 5 at home and the model has Over 2.5 at 71% against Under 2.5 at 30%; both backlines are stretched, Militao and Mendy out for Real, Marcao out for Sevilla.
“Real Madrid's h2h and home form still rule, but four absences open the door to goals”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid win | 71% | 1.25 | 80% |
| Draw | 18% | 7.00 | 14% |
| Sevilla win | 11% | 12.00 | 8% |
| Real Madrid or draw | 1.07 | 93% | |
| Sevilla or draw | 30% | 3.80 | 26% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.12 | 89% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.40 | 71% |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 1.85 | 54% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
26 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeReal Madrid
WWLWWW
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 15 scored, 9 conceded.
at AS Roma
4-3
Won
v Villarreal
1-0
Won
at Atlético Madrid
1-2
Lost
at Elche
3-2
Won
v Rayo Vallecano
4-1
Won
v Internazionale
2-1
Won
Sevilla
DLWWDL
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 8 scored, 10 conceded.
at Levante
3-3
Drew
v Barcelona
1-3
Lost
at Deportivo La Coruna
1-0
Won
v Valencia
1-0
Won
at Espanyol
1-1
Drew
v Atlético Madrid
1-3
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Real Madrid v Sevilla: the numbers
Always freeReal MadridSevilla
4League position5
6-0-2League record, won-drawn-lost4-2-2
19-8Goals for and against13-12
18Points14
4-0-0Home record v away record2-2-0
2.38Scored a game1.63
1.00Conceded a game1.50
2.49xG for a game1.04
37%Clean sheets16%
11%Failed to score26%
55%Both teams scored58%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Real Madrid v Sevilla: head to head
Always freeSevilla v Real Madrid
0-1
Real Madrid v Sevilla
2-0
Sevilla v Real Madrid
0-2
Real Madrid v Sevilla
4-2
Real Madrid v Sevilla
1-0
Sevilla v Real Madrid
1-1
Sevilla v Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid v Sevilla
3-1
Sevilla v Real Madrid
2-3
Real Madrid v Sevilla
2-1
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla: FAQs
Always freeReal Madrid vs Sevilla prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Real Madrid at 1.25. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Real Madrid vs Sevilla kick off?
Real Madrid vs Sevilla kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (La Liga).
What are the best odds for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
The best prices across the books we track: Real Madrid 1.25, the draw 7.00, Sevilla 12.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
Real Madrid: Vinicius Junior: suspended (red card vs Villarreal, Competition Committee ruling pending), Ferland Mendy: out (thigh). Sevilla: Marcao: out (thigh/rectus femoris strain, 3-8 weeks, ruled out of this game).
What form are Real Madrid and Sevilla in?
Real Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W W L W W W, newest first), scoring 15 and conceding 9. Sevilla have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D L W W D L, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 10.
What is the head to head between Real Madrid and Sevilla?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Real Madrid won 9, Sevilla won 0 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 17 May 2026, finished Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid.
Recent singles, graded
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Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
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1.67
Over 2.5 goals (0-1) Lost
-
Sat 17 Oct
Pro single
Airdrie United v Hamilton Academical
1.85
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.