Celta Vigo vs Alaves Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 La Liga1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Celta Vigo 41%
Draw 31%
Alaves 28%
The read
The deskCelta have lost just once in their last five games and dominate the head-to-head against an Alaves side missing their main striker and a key centre-back, so a home win or draw is the shape of this game. The catch for anyone betting it is that the price is short, not a true find at these numbers.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeCelta VigoNo absences found.
AlavesFacundo Garces: out (ACL surgery, long-term) · Omorodion: out · Rodriguez: out · Manas: out · Martinez: doubt (foot)
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 07:04.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProAlaves have won just 1 of their last 5 (L D L L W) and go into this game without striker Omorodion and without CB Facundo Garces (ACL surgery); a side missing its first-choice forward on the road is the sort that struggles to find the net itself, which is the half of this bet that is weakest.
Alaves have won only 1 of their last 5 (L D L L W), sit 2 wins to 6 down in the h2h over the last 10 meetings, and travel without striker Omorodion, CB Garces (ACL surgery), Rodriguez and Manas, with Martinez a doubt; too many absences for a side already short of form to win at Balaidos.
“Celta's h2h dominance and Alaves' threadbare squad make Vigo favourites, but 1.29 leaves no room.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo win | 41% | 2.25 | 44% |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 | 31% |
| Alaves win | 28% | 3.40 | 29% |
| Celta Vigo or draw | 75% | 1.30 | 77% |
| Alaves or draw | 62% | 1.67 | 60% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.50 | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 2.05 | 49% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
22 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeCelta Vigo
LDWLDD
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost. 8 scored, 5 conceded.
v Juventus
1-2
Lost
at Elche
0-0
Drew
v Racing Santander
5-0
Won
at Omonia Nicosia
0-1
Lost
v Málaga
1-1
Drew
at Getafe
1-1
Drew
Alaves
LDLLWW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 8 scored, 7 conceded.
v Atlético Madrid
1-2
Lost
at Athletic Club
0-0
Drew
v Valencia
0-1
Lost
at Racing Santander
1-2
Lost
v Osasuna
5-2
Won
v Villarreal
1-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Celta Vigo v Alaves: the numbers
Always freeCelta VigoAlaves
1.05Scored a game1.53
1.33Conceded a game1.35
0.94xG for a game1.29
26%Clean sheets13%
16%Failed to score26%
63%Both teams scored63%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Celta Vigo v Alaves: head to head
Always freeCelta Vigo v Alaves
3-4
Alaves v Celta Vigo
0-1
Alaves v Celta Vigo
1-1
Celta Vigo v Alaves
2-1
Alaves v Celta Vigo
3-0
Celta Vigo v Alaves
1-1
Celta Vigo v Alaves
4-0
Alaves v Celta Vigo
1-2
Alaves v Celta Vigo
1-3
Celta Vigo v Alaves
2-0
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves: FAQs
Always freeCelta Vigo vs Alaves prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.30. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Celta Vigo vs Alaves kick off?
Celta Vigo vs Alaves kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:15 UK time (La Liga).
What are the best odds for Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
The best prices across the books we track: Celta Vigo 2.25, the draw 3.20, Alaves 3.40. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
Celta Vigo: no absences found. Alaves: Facundo Garces: out (ACL surgery, long-term), Omorodion: out, Rodriguez: out, Manas: out, Martinez: doubt (foot).
What form are Celta Vigo and Alaves in?
Celta Vigo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L D W L D D, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Alaves have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D L L W W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 7.
What is the head to head between Celta Vigo and Alaves?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Celta Vigo won 6, Alaves won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 22 Mar 2026, finished Celta Vigo 3-4 Alaves.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.