Paris Saint Germain crestLyon crest

Paris Saint Germain v Lyon bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:45 · Ligue 1

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Paris Saint Germain or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 273 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Paris Saint Germain or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land
1.27

The model puts this 2-leg build at 79% combined for Paris Saint Germain v Lyon. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Paris Saint Germain Home Win 70% 1.39 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 68% 1.40 +
  • Paris Saint Germain (first half) First Half 57% 1.79 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 53% 1.90 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 52% 1.94 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • D. Doué Paris Saint Germain
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Doué: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 2.03/90 over 2 games (177 min), 30% weight

  • João Neves Paris Saint Germain
    Shots on target 1+

    João Neves: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

  • D. Doué Paris Saint Germain
    Shots on target 2+

    D. Doué: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 2.03/90 over 2 games (177 min), 30% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 54%
    Corners: Paris Saint Germain avg 5.0 for/2.9 against, Lyon avg 6.1 for/6.0 against so expected 10.0 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: Paris Saint Germain avg 5.0 for/2.9 against, Lyon avg 6.1 for/6.0 against so expected 10.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 49%
    Cards: Paris Saint Germain avg 1.0/game, Lyon avg 1.6/game so expected 2.6 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 74%
    Cards: Paris Saint Germain avg 1.0/game, Lyon avg 1.6/game so expected 2.6 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 44%
    Fouls: Paris Saint Germain avg 8.5/game, Lyon avg 11.5/game so expected 20.0 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: Paris Saint Germain avg 8.5/game, Lyon avg 11.5/game so expected 20.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 59%
    Shots: Paris Saint Germain avg 16.6/game, Lyon avg 11.3/game so expected 27.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Paris Saint Germain avg 16.6/game, Lyon avg 11.3/game so expected 27.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Paris Saint Germain under 3.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Lyon under 1.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 8.5 corners 74% market 1xBet
    1.35 +
  • Lyon under 4.5 corners 74% market 1xBet
    1.35 +
  • Paris Saint Germain to win 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 71% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Lyon over 0.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.