Monaco crestLille crest

Monaco vs Lille Prediction

Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 Ligue 1

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1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Monaco crestMonaco 43% Draw 26% Lille crestLille 31%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Neck and neck in the Ligue 1 standings. Monaco (2nd, 14 pts) host Lille (2nd, 14 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.

Marginal call: the model leans Monaco but not to an outright win, and the draw is live, so it backs the safer call below. Its number on that call sits in the call box, with the desk's verdict beside it.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.22Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.22

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Monaco win 43% 2.10 48%
Draw 26% 3.60 28%
Lille win 31% 3.30 30%
Monaco or draw 74% 1.33 75%
Lille or draw 58% 1.73 58%
Either side to win, no draw 1.30 77%
Over 2.5 goals 52% 1.73 58%
Both teams to score 57% 1.62 62%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.20
Lille under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.18
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Under 4 goals Marathon Bet 1.19
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.19
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.22
Monaco under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Monaco or Lille (double chance) William Hill 1.30
Lille over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.33
Monaco over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.30
Monaco or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.33

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Draw 3.82 to 3.30 shortening
BTTS yes 1.64 to 1.57 shortening
Away win 3.41 to 3.30 shortening
Home win 2.17 to 2.10 shortening
Under 2.5 goals 2.28 to 2.22 shortening
Home or draw 1.36 to 1.33 shortening
BTTS no 2.35 to 2.30 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Monaco crestMonaco WDWDWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost. 11 scored, 6 conceded.

Thu 15 Oct Cska Sofia crestat Cska Sofia 2-1 Won
Sat 10 Oct Toulouse crestv Toulouse 2-2 Drew
Fri 18 Sep Lens crestv Lens 2-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep Strasbourg crestat Strasbourg 1-1 Drew
Fri 4 Sep Paris Saint Germain crestat Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Won
Sun 30 Aug Marseille crestv Marseille 2-0 Won
Lille crestLille DLWLWL

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 9 conceded.

Sat 17 Oct Brest crestv Brest 1-1 Drew
Tue 13 Oct Arsenal crestat Arsenal 0-3 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Le Havre AC crestv Le Havre AC 1-0 Won
Sun 20 Sep Nice crestat Nice 1-2 Lost
Sun 13 Sep Estac Troyes crestv Estac Troyes 2-0 Won
Tue 8 Sep Real Betis crestv Real Betis 2-3 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Monaco v Lille: the numbers

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Monaco crestMonacoLille crestLille 2League position2 4-2-0League record, won-drawn-lost4-2-1 10-5Goals for and against10-5 14Points14 2-1-0Home record v away record2-0-1 1.67Scored a game1.43 0.83Conceded a game0.71 1.28xG for a game1.38 21%Clean sheets38% 21%Failed to score29% 65%Both teams scored38%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Monaco v Lille: head to head

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Monaco won 2 3 draws Lille won 5
2.2 goals a game 4/10 both scored 4/10 over 2.5
10 May 2026 Monaco crestLille crestMonaco v Lille 0-1
24 Aug 2025 Lille crestMonaco crestLille v Monaco 1-0
22 Feb 2025 Lille crestMonaco crestLille v Monaco 2-1
18 Oct 2024 Monaco crestLille crestMonaco v Lille 0-0
24 Apr 2024 Monaco crestLille crestMonaco v Lille 1-0
29 Oct 2023 Lille crestMonaco crestLille v Monaco 2-0
14 May 2023 Monaco crestLille crestMonaco v Lille 0-0
23 Oct 2022 Lille crestMonaco crestLille v Monaco 4-3
6 May 2022 Lille crestMonaco crestLille v Monaco 1-2
19 Nov 2021 Monaco crestLille crestMonaco v Lille 2-2

Likely scorelines

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1-113% 1-012% 0-111% 0-010% 2-18% 1-28%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Monaco vs Lille: FAQs

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Monaco vs Lille prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Monaco vs Lille kick off?

Monaco vs Lille kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time (Ligue 1).

What are the best odds for Monaco vs Lille?

The best prices across the books we track: Monaco 2.10, the draw 3.60, Lille 3.30. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Monaco and Lille in?

Monaco have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W D W D W W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 6. Lille have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (D L W L W L, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 9.

What is the head to head between Monaco and Lille?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Monaco won 2, Lille won 5 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 10 May 2026, finished Monaco 0-1 Lille.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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