Marseille v Toulouse bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.31 +
Marseille or draw
76% the modelRecord this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks
Our board prices this at 76%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.03 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 74% combined for Marseille v Toulouse. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 3.5 Goals 62% 1.49 +
- Toulouse or Draw Double Chance 51% 1.98 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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J. Russell-Rowe ToulouseShots on target 1+
J. Russell-Rowe: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. Jørgensen ToulouseShots on target 1+
T. Jørgensen: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 36%Corners: Marseille avg 4.3 for/3.0 against, Toulouse avg 3.9 for/4.2 against so expected 7.7 match corners
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Over 5.5 Match Corners 78%Corners: Marseille avg 4.3 for/3.0 against, Toulouse avg 3.9 for/4.2 against so expected 7.7 match corners; the safer line
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 57%Cards: Marseille avg 1.4/game, Toulouse avg 1.6/game so expected 3.0 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Marseille avg 1.4/game, Toulouse avg 1.6/game so expected 3.0 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 54%Fouls: Marseille avg 12.0/game, Toulouse avg 13.2/game so expected 25.2 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Marseille avg 12.0/game, Toulouse avg 13.2/game so expected 25.2 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 48%Shots: Marseille avg 11.3/game, Toulouse avg 13.1/game so expected 24.4 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 78%Shots: Marseille avg 11.3/game, Toulouse avg 13.1/game so expected 24.4 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 4 goals 83% market Pinnacle1.28 +
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Under 2 first half goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.21 +
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Marseille over 1 goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.21 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market William Hill1.25 +
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Marseille or Draw (double chance) 80% market William Hill1.25 +
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Marseille or Toulouse (double chance) 80% market William Hill1.25 +
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Over 2 goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market William Hill1.29 +
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Over 1 second half goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.30 +
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Toulouse over 0.5 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.32 +
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Marseille under 2.5 goals 75% market Marathon Bet1.35 +
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Toulouse under 1.5 goals 68% market Marathon Bet1.47 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.