FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
2.04 +
Werder Bremen or draw
49% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 49%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.03 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 48% combined for FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- FSV Mainz 05 or Draw Double Chance 80%+ 1.21 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.25 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 58% 1.61 +
- FSV Mainz 05 Home Win 53% 1.67 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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N. Füllkrug Werder BremenShots on target 1+
N. Füllkrug: 2.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05Shots on target 1+
P. Tietz: 1.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Becker FSV Mainz 05Shots on target 1+
S. Becker: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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N. Füllkrug Werder BremenShots on target 2+
N. Füllkrug: 2.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05Shots on target 2+
P. Tietz: 1.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Chuky San José Werder BremenShots on target 1+
Chuky San José: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Becker FSV Mainz 05Shots on target 2+
S. Becker: 1.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Grüll Werder BremenShots on target 1+
M. Grüll: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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N. Amiri FSV Mainz 05Shots on target 1+
N. Amiri: 0.33 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 3.00/90 over 1 games (30 min), 7% weight
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A. Caci FSV Mainz 05Shots on target 1+
A. Caci: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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O. Deman Werder BremenShots on target 1+
O. Deman: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Reis Werder BremenShots on target 1+
L. Reis: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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FSV Mainz 05 or Draw (double chance) 85% market William Hill1.22 +
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FSV Mainz 05 or Werder Bremen (double chance) 85% market William Hill1.22 +
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Over 2 goals 84% market BetVictor1.24 +
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Under 4.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.25 +
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FSV Mainz 05 under 3 goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.20 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 1 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market William Hill1.30 +
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Werder Bremen over 0.5 goals 75% market Bet3651.36 +
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FSV Mainz 05 under 2.5 goals 71% market Bet3651.44 +
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Werder Bremen under 1.5 goals 71% market Bet3651.40 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.