Mirassol crestSao Paulo crest

Mirassol v Sao Paulo bet builder

Saturday 24 October 2026, 20:30 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Mirassol or draw

    74% the model

    Our board prices this at 74%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.35 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 56% chance all land
1.78

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Mirassol v Sao Paulo, 56% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.30 +
  • Sao Paulo or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.62 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Alesson Mirassol
    Shots on target 1+

    Alesson: 0.62 shots on target a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Calleri Sao Paulo
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Calleri: 0.72 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Luciano Sao Paulo
    Shots on target 1+

    Luciano: 0.70 shots on target a game over 23 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Neto Moura Mirassol
    To be carded

    Neto Moura (Midfielder) on 0.44 yellows/match (16 apps), pos-mult 1.20

  • Eduardo Mirassol
    Shots on target 1+

    Eduardo: 0.45 shots on target a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • José Aldo Mirassol
    To be carded

    José Aldo (Midfielder) on 0.41 yellows/match (17 apps), pos-mult 1.20

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 42%
    Corners: Mirassol avg 4.6 for/5.7 against, Sao Paulo avg 5.3 for/4.5 against so expected 10.0 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: Mirassol avg 4.6 for/5.7 against, Sao Paulo avg 5.3 for/4.5 against so expected 10.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 50%
    Cards: Mirassol avg 2.4/game, Sao Paulo avg 2.3/game so expected 4.7 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Mirassol avg 2.4/game, Sao Paulo avg 2.3/game so expected 4.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Mirassol avg 12.2/game, Sao Paulo avg 16.3/game so expected 28.5 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Mirassol avg 12.2/game, Sao Paulo avg 16.3/game so expected 28.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 49%
    Shots: Mirassol avg 13.2/game, Sao Paulo avg 13.3/game so expected 26.5 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 78%
    Shots: Mirassol avg 13.2/game, Sao Paulo avg 13.3/game so expected 26.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Mirassol under 2 goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 81% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Mirassol over 0.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Mirassol or Sao Paulo (double chance) 78% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Mirassol or Draw (double chance) 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 75% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Sao Paulo under 1.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Sao Paulo over 0.5 goals 72% market Bet365
    1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.