Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 22:30 Brasileirão Série A1147 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Bahia 25%
Draw 26%
Flamengo 48%
The read
The deskFlamengo arrive as league leaders with a near-total grip on this fixture, nine wins in the last ten meetings, even missing centre-back Danilo after jaw surgery. Bahia are unbeaten in five at home and will make it competitive, but history and table position both lean one way, expect goals at both ends rather than a home upset.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeBahiaNo absences found.
FlamengoDanilo: out (jaw fracture surgery)
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 00:24.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProBahia's home run (3W 2D in last 5) is the only thing a backer points to; across the last 10 meetings with Flamengo, Bahia have won just once, and Flamengo arrive as league leaders against a 5th-placed side.
“Flamengo's 9-1 head-to-head hold and table gap outweigh Bahia's good home run.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia win | 3.25 | 31% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 28% | |
| Flamengo win | 2.25 | 44% | |
| Bahia or draw | 1.67 | 60% | |
| Flamengo or draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 61% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 | 65% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
17 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBahia
WLLWWW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 10 scored, 8 conceded.
v Mirassol
1-0
Won
at Palmeiras
0-1
Lost
at Atletico Paranaense
1-2
Lost
v Remo
2-1
Won
at Red Bull Bragantino
3-2
Won
v Internacional
3-2
Won
Flamengo
WDWWWW
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost. 10 scored, 4 conceded.
v Fluminense
1-0
Won
at Santos
2-2
Drew
v RB Bragantino
2-1
Won
v Corinthians
2-1
Won
at Remo
1-0
Won
v Mirassol
2-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Bahia v Flamengo: the numbers
Always freeBahiaFlamengo
5League position1
13-10-7League record, won-drawn-lost19-7-4
44-36Goals for and against58-25
49Points64
7-6-2Home record v away record8-4-3
1.50Scored a game1.90
1.20Conceded a game0.80
1.95xG for a game1.87
30%Clean sheets43%
13%Failed to score7%
65%Both teams scored48%
13%Over 2.5 goals27%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Bahia v Flamengo: head to head
Always freeFlamengo v Bahia
2-0
Bahia v Flamengo
1-0
Flamengo v Bahia
1-0
Bahia v Flamengo
0-2
Flamengo v Bahia
1-0
Bahia v Flamengo
0-1
Flamengo v Bahia
2-1
Flamengo v Bahia
1-0
Bahia v Flamengo
2-3
Flamengo v Bahia
3-0
Bahia vs Flamengo: FAQs
Always freeBahia vs Flamengo prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.65. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Bahia vs Flamengo kick off?
Bahia vs Flamengo kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:30 UK time (Brasileirão Série A).
What are the best odds for Bahia vs Flamengo?
The best prices across the books we track: Bahia 3.25, the draw 3.60, Flamengo 2.25. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Bahia vs Flamengo?
Bahia: no absences found. Flamengo: Danilo: out (jaw fracture surgery).
What form are Bahia and Flamengo in?
Bahia have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W L L W W W, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 8. Flamengo have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W D W W W W, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 4.
What is the head to head between Bahia and Flamengo?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Bahia won 1, Flamengo won 9 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 19 Apr 2026, finished Flamengo 2-0 Bahia.
Recent singles, graded
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1.67
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1.85
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.