Bahia v Flamengo bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.35 +
Flamengo or draw
74% the modelOur board prices this at 74%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Bahia v Flamengo, 65% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 80%+ 1.17 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 63% 1.46 +
- Bahia or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.69 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Pedro FlamengoShots on target 1+
Pedro: 1.20 shots on target a game over 30 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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C. Olivera BahiaShots on target 1+
C. Olivera: 0.86 shots on target a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Samuel Lino FlamengoShots on target 1+
Samuel Lino: 0.86 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Luciano Juba BahiaShots on target 1+
Luciano Juba: 0.65 shots on target a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Lucas Paquetá FlamengoShots on target 1+
Lucas Paquetá: 0.81 shots on target a game over 21 games [WC form: 0.47/90 over 3 games (191 min), 31% weight
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G. de Arrascaeta FlamengoShots on target 1+
G. de Arrascaeta: 0.62 shots on target a game over 21 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Erick Pulga BahiaShots on target 1+
Erick Pulga: 0.48 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 44%Corners: Bahia avg 4.6 for/4.6 against, Flamengo avg 5.4 for/3.8 against so expected 9.2 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Bahia avg 4.6 for/4.6 against, Flamengo avg 5.4 for/3.8 against so expected 9.2 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 53%Cards: Bahia avg 2.1/game, Flamengo avg 1.8/game so expected 3.8 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%Cards: Bahia avg 2.1/game, Flamengo avg 1.8/game so expected 3.8 match cards; the safer line
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 49%Fouls: Bahia avg 11.1/game, Flamengo avg 9.5/game so expected 20.6 match fouls
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Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Bahia avg 11.1/game, Flamengo avg 9.5/game so expected 20.6 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 66%Shots: Bahia avg 12.6/game, Flamengo avg 16.3/game so expected 28.9 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Bahia avg 12.6/game, Flamengo avg 16.3/game so expected 28.9 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 4 goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.18 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet3651.28 +
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Bahia or Flamengo (double chance) 82% market William Hill1.29 +
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Flamengo under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Under 12.5 corners 82% market 1xBet1.27 +
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Bahia under 6.5 corners 82% market 1xBet1.22 +
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Flamengo over 3.5 corners 82% market 1xBet1.22 +
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Flamengo over 4 corners 81% market 1xBet1.23 +
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Bahia over 0.5 goals 81% market BetVictor1.29 +
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Over 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market BetVictor1.29 +
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Flamengo over 1 goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.