Orgryte IS vs Gais Prediction
Full time 4-2
Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:30 AllsvenskanFull time. The result is on the record.
1155 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
Orgryte IS 16%
Draw 24%
Gais 60%
The read
The deskOrgryte go into this on a miserable run: one draw and four losses in their last five overall, and no win at all in their last five at home, with the club 15th in the table. Gais are more mixed but clearly more competitive, two wins and two losses either side of a draw in their last five, and two of those wins came away from home over the same stretch. Across the last ten meetings between these two sides, Gais have won five to Orgryte's three, with two draws, a pattern that lines up with the away side's current advantage. No confirmed injuries, suspensions or lineup changes surfaced for either club in the searches run for this card, so nothing here is adjusted for team news beyond that gap. The angle is simple: a struggling home side that cannot buy a win at its own ground, against a mid-table away side with the head to head history on its side. The call leans toward Gais doing enough, whether through the win or avoiding defeat, with goals likely at a premium given how both sides' recent form has played out.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
The research
ProOrgryte have no win in their last 5 at home (L D D L D) and 4 losses in their last 5 overall (L L L D L), sitting 15th; Gais are 10th and have won 5 of the last 10 meetings to Orgryte's 3.
Our own number has this at 80+% at 1.19; backed by Orgryte's winless run at home (L D D L D) and the 5-3 head to head advantage for Gais over the last 10 meetings.
Orgryte have lost 4 of their last 5 (L L L D L) and are winless in 5 at home (L D D L D), pointing to a side unlikely to be part of a high-scoring game.
Gais show a mixed scoring/conceding run (W L L W L away) and Orgryte are deep in a losing run (L L L D L); nothing in the pack gives a strong lean either way on both sides scoring.
The home-or-draw number looks tempting, but Orgryte have not won at home in 5 (L D D L D), have 4 losses in their last 5 overall (L L L D L), and trail 3-5 in the last 10 meetings with Gais.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 07:14. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. Research confirms the away side's advantage, Orgryte winless in 5 at home and trailing 3-5 in the head to head, but at 1.19 the price already needs 84% to break even; the read stands, it just stays thin as a bet.
“Orgryte are winless in five at home; Gais arrive with the head to head advantage.”
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS win | 5.50 | 18% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 25% | |
| Gais win | 1.57 | 64% | |
| Orgryte IS or draw | 2.38 | 42% | |
| Gais or draw | 1.14 | 88% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.22 | 82% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 58% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 | 56% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
13 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeOrgryte IS
WLLLDL
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 7 scored, 13 conceded.
v GAIS
4-2
Won
at BK Häcken
0-3
Lost
v Sirius
1-2
Lost
at Malmö Ff
1-4
Lost
v Hammarby If
1-1
Drew
at Ifk Goteborg
0-1
Lost
Gais
LLWLDW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 9 scored, 7 conceded.
at Örgryte Is
2-4
Lost
v IK Sirius
0-1
Lost
at Mjällby Aif
3-0
Won
at Djurgardens IF
0-2
Lost
v BK Hacken
0-0
Drew
v If Brommapojkarna
4-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Orgryte IS v Gais: the numbers
Always freeOrgryte ISGais
15League position10
3-6-14League record, won-drawn-lost8-6-9
25-52Goals for and against28-21
15Points30
1-6-4Home record v away record3-2-6
1.10Scored a game1.20
2.30Conceded a game0.90
1.03xG for a game1.77
13%Clean sheets44%
35%Failed to score35%
58%Both teams scored31%
13%Over 2.5 goals17%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Orgryte IS v Gais: head to head
Always freeGais v Orgryte IS
4-0
Gais v Orgryte IS
3-0
Orgryte IS v Gais
1-4
Gais v Orgryte IS
0-1
Gais v Orgryte IS
2-1
Orgryte IS v Gais
1-0
Orgryte IS v Gais
0-2
Gais v Orgryte IS
0-0
Gais v Orgryte IS
0-0
Orgryte IS v Gais
1-0
Orgryte IS vs Gais: FAQs
Always freeOrgryte IS vs Gais prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Gais to win at 1.57. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Orgryte IS vs Gais kick off?
Orgryte IS vs Gais kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:30 UK time (Allsvenskan).
What are the best odds for Orgryte IS vs Gais?
The best prices across the books we track: Orgryte IS 5.50, the draw 4.00, Gais 1.57. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Orgryte IS and Gais in?
Orgryte IS have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W L L L D L, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 13. Gais have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L L W L D W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 7.
What is the head to head between Orgryte IS and Gais?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Orgryte IS won 3, Gais won 5 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 3 May 2026, finished Gais 4-0 Orgryte IS.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.