Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.58 +
Fortuna Sittard or draw
63% the modelOur board prices this at 63%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior, 55% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.25 +
- Excelsior or Draw Double Chance 67% 1.44 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 56% 1.63 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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A. Descotte Fortuna SittardShots on target 1+
A. Descotte: 1.00 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Ihattaren Fortuna SittardShots on target 1+
M. Ihattaren: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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I. Yegoian ExcelsiorShots on target 1+
I. Yegoian: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand Fortuna SittardShots on target 1+
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Zeefuik Fortuna SittardShots on target 1+
L. Zeefuik: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Sliti ExcelsiorShots on target 1+
A. Sliti: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 43%Corners: Fortuna Sittard avg 2.4 for/7.7 against, Excelsior avg 3.0 for/5.2 against so expected 9.1 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Fortuna Sittard avg 2.4 for/7.7 against, Excelsior avg 3.0 for/5.2 against so expected 9.1 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 42%Cards: Fortuna Sittard avg 2.1/game, Excelsior avg 1.2/game so expected 3.3 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Fortuna Sittard avg 2.1/game, Excelsior avg 1.2/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 41%Fouls: Fortuna Sittard avg 9.7/game, Excelsior avg 11.9/game so expected 21.6 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 74%Fouls: Fortuna Sittard avg 9.7/game, Excelsior avg 11.9/game so expected 21.6 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 42%Shots: Fortuna Sittard avg 10.4/game, Excelsior avg 11.3/game so expected 21.7 match shots
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Over 18.5 Match Shots 75%Shots: Fortuna Sittard avg 10.4/game, Excelsior avg 11.3/game so expected 21.7 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 0.5 first half goals 84% market William Hill1.25 +
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Under 4.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Fortuna Sittard under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.22 +
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Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior (double chance) 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Excelsior under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.25 +
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Excelsior over 1 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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Under 4 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Fortuna Sittard over 1 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.32 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 70% market William Hill1.44 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.