NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction
Full time 2-2
Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:00 EredivisieFull time. The result is on the record.
1155 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Kicked off: the Pro view is open. What members had before kick-off, the desk's graded research included, is open below. Get it before kick-off next time
The model's read
NEC Nijmegen 52%
Draw 21%
Fortuna Sittard 27%
The read
The deskNEC Nijmegen's last five league games read D D L L D, and their home form over the same stretch is identical: no wins, two draws and two losses. That is a team stuck, not building. Fortuna Sittard, by contrast, have won three of their last five (W W W D L) and their away form is even sharper on the same run, with only a single loss in that spell. Sitting 7th against NEC's 11th, Fortuna travel with the better recent trend on both counts. Team news is thin and mostly unconfirmed: the clearest lead has NEC without Emre Mor (groin) and Bram Nuytinck (ankle), and Fortuna missing Yassin Oukili (groin), per AiScore's sidelined list, though none of it comes from an official club source inside the last 48 hours. The head to head is balanced, NEC 4 wins, Fortuna 3, from the last 10 meetings, so history does not rescue the home side either. With NEC winless across the board and Fortuna's away form the stronger current trend, backing NEC at 1.57 to find a result looks like the trap on this board. The better read is the away side avoiding defeat, or goals at both ends given both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeNEC NijmegenMor: out (groin) · Nuytinck: out (ankle)
Fortuna SittardOukili: out (groin)
Checked Thu 15 Oct, 12:51.
The research
ProFortuna's away form is W W W D L, a side finding goals; NEC's last 5 is D D L L D with no clean sheet won in that run. Model board rates BTTS Yes 73% @1.43, in line with the pack price of 1.44. Table gap, NEC 11th, Fortuna 7th, backs a leaky home side meeting an in-form away one.
NEC are winless in 5 (D D L L D) including an identical 0-win run at home over the same stretch; Fortuna have 3 wins in their last 5 away (W W W D L). Model board has this line at 46% @2.30, matching the pack price exactly.
Pack-wide pricing leans heavily toward goals: over 2.5 at 1.36 against under 2.5 at 3.10. Model board puts BTTS Yes top at 73%, and books separately price Over 1.5 goals at 94% implied and Over 1.0 at 99% implied, consistent with both sides' open recent lines (NEC D D L L D, Fortuna W W W D L).
NEC have not won in their last 5 (D D L L D), and their home form over the same 5 games is identical, zero wins. Fortuna arrive with 3 wins in their last 5 away (W W W D L) and sit 7th against NEC's 11th. The last 10 meetings split 4-3-3, no rescue there either.
Price when written, Thu 15 Oct, 12:51. Today's prices are in the tables below.
The desk's verdict on the model's call: downgrade. Research found NEC winless in their last 5 games with an identical 0-win home run over the same stretch, against a Fortuna side with 3 wins in their last 5 away games. That form line, not the price, argues against the home win and toward the away side or a share of the points.
“NEC's winless run at home says the 1.57 favourite tag is a trap.”
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen win | 1.75 | 57% | |
| Draw | 4.33 | 23% | |
| Fortuna Sittard win | 4.33 | 23% | |
| NEC Nijmegen or draw | 1.22 | 82% | |
| Fortuna Sittard or draw | 2.00 | 50% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.22 | 82% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 68% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 | 67% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in the research above.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeNEC Nijmegen
DDDDLL
Last 6, newest first: 0 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost. 5 scored, 13 conceded.
v Fortuna Sittard
2-2
Drew
v Levski Sofia
1-1
Drew
at Ajax Amsterdam
1-1
Drew
v Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
Drew
at Juventus
0-5
Lost
at SC Cambuur
0-3
Lost
Fortuna Sittard
DDWLWW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 11 scored, 12 conceded.
at Nec Nijmegen
2-2
Drew
v FC Twente
1-1
Drew
at Willem Ii
1-0
Won
v Ajax Amsterdam
1-5
Lost
at Ado Den Haag
3-2
Won
at FC Groningen
3-2
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard: the numbers
Always freeNEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
11League position7
2-3-3League record, won-drawn-lost4-2-2
13-14Goals for and against14-15
9Points14
0-2-2Home record v away record3-1-0
1.60Scored a game1.80
1.80Conceded a game1.90
10%Clean sheets12%
12%Failed to score12%
76%Both teams scored73%
25%Over 2.5 goals38%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard: head to head
Always freeNEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
2-3
Fortuna Sittard v NEC Nijmegen
3-2
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
4-1
Fortuna Sittard v NEC Nijmegen
0-3
Fortuna Sittard v NEC Nijmegen
1-1
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
4-1
Fortuna Sittard v NEC Nijmegen
1-1
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
3-2
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
1-1
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard
0-1
The full NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard head-to-head history
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: FAQs
Always freeNEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.48. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard kick off?
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 UK time (Eredivisie).
What are the best odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
The best prices across the books we track: NEC Nijmegen 1.75, the draw 4.33, Fortuna Sittard 4.33. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
NEC Nijmegen: Mor: out (groin), Nuytinck: out (ankle). Fortuna Sittard: Oukili: out (groin).
What form are NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard in?
NEC Nijmegen have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D D D D L L, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 13. Fortuna Sittard have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (D D W L W W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 12.
What is the head to head between NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, NEC Nijmegen won 4, Fortuna Sittard won 3 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 28 Feb 2026, finished NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Fortuna Sittard.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.