Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.49 +
Atlanta United FC or Draw
67% the modelWin if home team wins or draws.
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1.72 +
Under 3.5 Goals
58% the modelAvg 3.1 goals/game expected.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire, 39% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 72% 1.32 +
- Chicago Fire or Draw Double Chance 63% 1.56 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Almirón Atlanta United FCShots on target 1+
M. Almirón: 1.00 shots on target a game over 23 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (79 min), 16% weight
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P. Zinckernagel Chicago FireShots on target 1+
P. Zinckernagel: 0.97 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Haile-Selassie Chicago FireShots on target 1+
M. Haile-Selassie: 0.87 shots on target a game over 30 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Miranchuk Atlanta United FCShots on target 1+
A. Miranchuk: 0.57 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Bamba Chicago FireShots on target 1+
J. Bamba: 0.65 shots on target a game over 23 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. Jacob Atlanta United FCTo be carded
T. Jacob (Midfielder) on 0.38 yellows/match (26 apps), pos-mult 1.20
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 48%Corners: Atlanta United FC avg 4.9 for/5.2 against, Chicago Fire avg 4.2 for/4.8 against so expected 9.6 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%Corners: Atlanta United FC avg 4.9 for/5.2 against, Chicago Fire avg 4.2 for/4.8 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 47%Cards: Atlanta United FC avg 2.2/game, Chicago Fire avg 2.3/game so expected 4.5 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Atlanta United FC avg 2.2/game, Chicago Fire avg 2.3/game so expected 4.5 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 50%Fouls: Atlanta United FC avg 11.8/game, Chicago Fire avg 12.8/game so expected 24.6 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 79%Fouls: Atlanta United FC avg 11.8/game, Chicago Fire avg 12.8/game so expected 24.6 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 54%Shots: Atlanta United FC avg 12.9/game, Chicago Fire avg 14.3/game so expected 27.2 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Atlanta United FC avg 12.9/game, Chicago Fire avg 14.3/game so expected 27.2 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 0.5 first half goals 84% market BetVictor1.22 +
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Chicago Fire under 2.5 goals 83% market BetVictor1.22 +
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Atlanta United FC or Chicago Fire (double chance) 82% market William Hill1.25 +
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Atlanta United FC over 1 goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Under 4.5 goals 80% market BetVictor1.25 +
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Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Atlanta United FC under 2.5 goals 79% market BetVictor1.29 +
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Chicago Fire over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet1.29 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 76% market William Hill1.35 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 74% market William Hill1.40 +
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Under 4 goals 74% market Marathon Bet1.36 +
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Over 2.5 goals 72% market BetVictor1.40 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.