Santos crestBahia crest

Santos v Bahia bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 01:00 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Santos or Draw

    72% the model

    Win if home team wins or draws. Home avoid defeat 67% of games.

    1.38 +

  • Over 1.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Avg 2.9 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.

    1.32 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 55% chance all land
1.83

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Santos v Bahia, 55% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.33 +
  • Bahia or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.62 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Gabriel Barbosa Santos
    Shots on target 1+

    Gabriel Barbosa: 0.86 shots on target a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Olivera Bahia
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Olivera: 0.86 shots on target a game over 22 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Á. Barreal Santos
    Shots on target 1+

    Á. Barreal: 0.58 shots on target a game over 24 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Gabriel Barbosa Santos
    Anytime scorer

    Gabriel Barbosa: 0.64 goals a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 1.20 a game

  • Luciano Juba Bahia
    Shots on target 1+

    Luciano Juba: 0.65 shots on target a game over 26 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Erick Pulga Bahia
    Shots on target 1+

    Erick Pulga: 0.48 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 42%
    Corners: Santos avg 6.4 for/4.5 against, Bahia avg 4.6 for/4.6 against so expected 10.0 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: Santos avg 6.4 for/4.5 against, Bahia avg 4.6 for/4.6 against so expected 10.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 48%
    Cards: Santos avg 2.5/game, Bahia avg 2.1/game so expected 4.6 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Santos avg 2.5/game, Bahia avg 2.1/game so expected 4.6 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 50%
    Fouls: Santos avg 11.6/game, Bahia avg 11.1/game so expected 22.6 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Santos avg 11.6/game, Bahia avg 11.1/game so expected 22.6 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 52%
    Shots: Santos avg 12.3/game, Bahia avg 12.6/game so expected 24.9 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Santos avg 12.3/game, Bahia avg 12.6/game so expected 24.9 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Santos or Bahia (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Bahia over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market BetVictor
    1.35 +
  • Santos under 2 goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Santos or Draw (double chance) 74% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Santos over 1 goals 74% market Marathon Bet
    1.36 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market BetVictor
    1.47 +
  • Bahia under 1.5 goals 68% market Bet365
    1.50 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.