Stoke City crestBristol City crest

Stoke City v Bristol City bet builder

Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00 · Championship

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Stoke City or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 268 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Stoke City or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 84% chance all land
1.18

The model puts this 2-leg build at 84% combined for Stoke City v Bristol City. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • J. Devenny Stoke City
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Devenny: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Twine Bristol City
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Twine: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Galbraith Stoke City
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Galbraith: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Ballard Bristol City
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Ballard: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Rio Cardines Bristol City
    Anytime assist

    Rio Cardines on 0.60 assists/match (10 apps, 32 key passes), match xG 2.64

  • L. Tolaj Bristol City
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Tolaj: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Y. Hirakawa Bristol City
    Shots on target 1+

    Y. Hirakawa: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Johnson Stoke City
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Johnson: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Galbraith Stoke City
    To be carded

    E. Galbraith (Midfielder) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.20

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 48%
    Corners: Stoke City avg 3.3 for/3.6 against, Bristol City avg 6.8 for/5.3 against so expected 9.5 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 73%
    Corners: Stoke City avg 3.3 for/3.6 against, Bristol City avg 6.8 for/5.3 against so expected 9.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 44%
    Cards: Stoke City avg 1.8/game, Bristol City avg 1.6/game so expected 3.4 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Stoke City avg 1.8/game, Bristol City avg 1.6/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 45%
    Fouls: Stoke City avg 12.1/game, Bristol City avg 10.0/game so expected 22.1 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Stoke City avg 12.1/game, Bristol City avg 10.0/game so expected 22.1 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 46%
    Shots: Stoke City avg 10.1/game, Bristol City avg 16.0/game so expected 26.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 75%
    Shots: Stoke City avg 10.1/game, Bristol City avg 16.0/game so expected 26.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.