Real Salt Lake v St. Louis City bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.56 +
Real Salt Lake or draw
64% the modelOur board prices this at 64%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 70%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Real Salt Lake v St. Louis City, 60% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 75% 1.26 +
- St. Louis City or Draw Double Chance 67% 1.45 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.62 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Hartel St. Louis CityShots on target 1+
M. Hartel: 1.56 shots on target a game over 16 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Z. Gozo Real Salt LakeShots on target 1+
Z. Gozo: 1.25 shots on target a game over 16 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Solans Real Salt LakeShots on target 1+
S. Solans: 1.00 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Guilavogui Real Salt LakeShots on target 1+
M. Guilavogui: 1.00 shots on target a game over 24 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Becher St. Louis CityShots on target 1+
S. Becher: 0.93 shots on target a game over 30 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Luna Real Salt LakeShots on target 1+
D. Luna: 0.61 shots on target a game over 18 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Hartel St. Louis CityShots on target 2+
M. Hartel: 1.56 shots on target a game over 16 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Z. Gozo Real Salt LakeShots on target 2+
Z. Gozo: 1.25 shots on target a game over 16 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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C. Durkin St. Louis CityTo be carded
C. Durkin (Midfielder) on 0.42 yellows/match (26 apps), pos-mult 1.20
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S. Solans Real Salt LakeAnytime scorer
S. Solans: 0.43 goals a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 1.40 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 48%Corners: Real Salt Lake avg 4.0 for/7.7 against, St. Louis City avg 5.3 for/6.0 against so expected 11.5 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Real Salt Lake avg 4.0 for/7.7 against, St. Louis City avg 5.3 for/6.0 against so expected 11.5 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 46%Cards: Real Salt Lake avg 2.1/game, St. Louis City avg 2.3/game so expected 4.5 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Real Salt Lake avg 2.1/game, St. Louis City avg 2.3/game so expected 4.5 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 56%Fouls: Real Salt Lake avg 10.7/game, St. Louis City avg 14.7/game so expected 25.4 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Real Salt Lake avg 10.7/game, St. Louis City avg 14.7/game so expected 25.4 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 46%Shots: Real Salt Lake avg 12.2/game, St. Louis City avg 12.0/game so expected 24.2 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 77%Shots: Real Salt Lake avg 12.2/game, St. Louis City avg 12.0/game so expected 24.2 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill1.22 +
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Real Salt Lake under 2.5 goals 83% market BetVictor1.20 +
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Under 4.5 goals 82% market BetVictor1.22 +
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Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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St. Louis City under 2.5 goals 82% market BetVictor1.22 +
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Real Salt Lake or St. Louis City (double chance) 80% market William Hill1.29 +
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Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market William Hill1.30 +
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St. Louis City over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet1.28 +
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Real Salt Lake over 1 goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.30 +
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Under 4 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 71% market William Hill1.44 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.