Rayo Vallecano crestElche crest

Rayo Vallecano v Elche bet builder

Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Elche or draw

    50% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 50%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    2.00 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 44% chance all land
2.29

The model puts this 2-leg build at 44% combined for Rayo Vallecano v Elche. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Rayo Vallecano or Draw Double Chance 80%+ 1.20 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 66% 1.38 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano
    Shots on target 1+

    Sergio Camello: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Fer Niño Elche
    Shots on target 1+

    Fer Niño: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano
    Shots on target 2+

    Sergio Camello: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Álvaro García Rayo Vallecano
    Shots on target 1+

    Álvaro García: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano
    Shots on target 1+

    Jorge de Frutos: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 46%
    Corners: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.8 for/6.3 against, Elche avg 4.1 for/4.6 against so expected 9.4 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.8 for/6.3 against, Elche avg 4.1 for/4.6 against so expected 9.4 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 66%
    Cards: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.0/game, Elche avg 2.6/game so expected 5.6 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.0/game, Elche avg 2.6/game so expected 5.6 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 64%
    Fouls: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.8/game, Elche avg 14.7/game so expected 26.5 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.8/game, Elche avg 14.7/game so expected 26.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 47%
    Shots: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.6/game, Elche avg 10.7/game so expected 22.3 match shots
  • Over 18.5 Match Shots 78%
    Shots: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.6/game, Elche avg 10.7/game so expected 22.3 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Rayo Vallecano over 3.5 corners 85% market Betano
    1.18 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Rayo Vallecano or Elche (double chance) 83% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Elche under 5.5 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market BetVictor
    1.27 +
  • Rayo Vallecano over 1 goals 81% market 1xBet
    1.25 +
  • Rayo Vallecano under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Rayo Vallecano under 7.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.25 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 78% market Betano
    1.28 +
  • Elche under 1.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Elche over 2.5 corners 77% market Betano
    1.30 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.