NEC Nijmegen v Groningen bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:30 · Eredivisie

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Groningen or draw

57% the model

Our board prices this at 57%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.76 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.07 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 53% chance all land

1.87

Built from the bookmakers' prices for NEC Nijmegen v Groningen, 53% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.25 +
NEC Nijmegen or Draw Double Chance 74% 1.35 +
Under 3.5 Goals 56% 1.64 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

T. van Bergen Groningen

Shots on target 1+

T. van Bergen: 1.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
B. Willumsson Groningen

Shots on target 1+

B. Willumsson: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
D. van der Werff Groningen

Shots on target 1+

D. van der Werff: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
T. van Bergen Groningen

Shots on target 2+

T. van Bergen: 1.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Adam Tahaui NEC Nijmegen

Shots on target 1+

Adam Tahaui: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
T. de Jonge Groningen

Shots on target 1+

T. de Jonge: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
B. Willumsson Groningen

Shots on target 2+

B. Willumsson: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 43%
Corners: NEC Nijmegen avg 5.8 for/3.0 against, Groningen avg 5.0 for/4.4 against so expected 9.1 match corners
Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
Corners: NEC Nijmegen avg 5.8 for/3.0 against, Groningen avg 5.0 for/4.4 against so expected 9.1 match corners; the safer line
Over 3.5 Match Cards 36%
Cards: NEC Nijmegen avg 1.5/game, Groningen avg 1.6/game so expected 3.1 match cards
Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
Cards: NEC Nijmegen avg 1.5/game, Groningen avg 1.6/game so expected 3.1 match cards; the safer line
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 52%
Fouls: NEC Nijmegen avg 12.3/game, Groningen avg 8.6/game so expected 20.9 match fouls
Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: NEC Nijmegen avg 12.3/game, Groningen avg 8.6/game so expected 20.9 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: NEC Nijmegen avg 15.9/game, Groningen avg 15.8/game so expected 31.7 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: NEC Nijmegen avg 15.9/game, Groningen avg 15.8/game so expected 31.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

NEC Nijmegen over 1 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
1.18 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 84% market Bet365
1.25 +
Groningen over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
1.25 +
Under 4.5 goals 82% market Bet365
1.25 +
Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
1.22 +
NEC Nijmegen or Groningen (double chance) 81% market William Hill
1.25 +
Groningen under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
1.27 +
Under 2 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
1.28 +
Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market Bet365
1.33 +
Under 4 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
1.31 +
NEC Nijmegen or Draw (double chance) 75% market Bet365
1.36 +
NEC Nijmegen under 2.5 goals 75% market Bet365
1.33 +

More fixtures

All previews ›

Eredivisie

Twente vs Utrecht Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 Eredivisie

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 Eredivisie

Willem II vs Cambuur Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen Sat 24 Oct, 20:00

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.